MLB matchup

09/09/20267:40 PMAmerican Family FieldMilwaukee, WI

Cubs86 – 69vsBrewers97 – 58

Sharp side

✈️ Cubs +113

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago Cubs	3.5	46.6%
Milwaukee Brewers	3.8	53.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago Cubs	A-	B+	A-
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	A-	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+113+1.5 (-191)

MIL-136-1.5 (+157)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+110+1.5 (-190)

MIL-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+107+1.5 (-200)

MIL-129-1.5 (+160)

Total 7.5Over -108Under -113

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+115+1.5 (-190)

MIL-135-1.5 (+158)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+115+1.5 (-195)

MIL-125-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+110+1.5 (-185)

MIL-130-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+110+1.5 (-205)

MIL-130-1.5 (+168)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+115+1.5 (-195)

MIL-135-1.5 (+160)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC+115+1.5 (-200)

MIL-135-1.5 (+165)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago Cubs

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	P 7
9/7/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/6/26	@ MIA	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/5/26	@ MIA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/4/26	@ MIA	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 8
9/3/26	vs MIL	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	vs MIL	L 5–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs MIL	L 4–9	L +1.5	O 10
8/31/26	vs MIL	W 17–3	W +1.5	O 9.5
8/30/26	vs CIN	L 5–7	L -1.5	O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	P 7
9/7/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/6/26	@ CIN	L 8–12	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CIN	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 9
9/4/26	@ CIN	W 10–7	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/3/26	@ CHC	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ CHC	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ CHC	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 10
8/31/26	@ CHC	L 3–17	L -1.5	O 9.5
8/30/26	vs TEX	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Cubs and Brewers
	Statistic
7.2 (8.6)	Hits	7.7 (8.6)
1.4 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.7)
1.0 (1.4)	Home Runs	0.8 (0.9)
11.9 (14.8)	Total Bases	11.8 (13.3)
3.6 (4.1)	Walks	3.8 (4.1)
8.8 (8.6)	Strikeouts	8.5 (8.4)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.9 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

CubsKevin GausmanConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-16261.8%Under+12744.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%

BrewersLogan HendersonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over+12045.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%

Starting lineups

Chicago CubsConfirmed

1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Crow-Armstrong+53915.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
2Seiya SuzukiRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSeiya Suzuki+84010.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
3Michael Busch1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Busch+82010.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
4Alex Bregman3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Bregman+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
5Ian HappDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIan Happ+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52216.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
6Nico HoernerSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNico Hoerner+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50116.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43381.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13557.4%Under-10250.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47182.5%
7Pedro Ramirez2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPedro Ramirez+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54815.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9409.6%Under-180094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46782.4%
8Michael ConfortoLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Conforto+11008.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58514.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
9Carson KellyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Kelly+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45181.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34477.5%

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+9909.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49783.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-26472.5%Under+19434.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57914.7%Under-96090.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
2Brice Turang2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrice Turang+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59385.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
3William ContrerasC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
4Andrew Vaughn1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Vaughn+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57714.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
5Christian YelichDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Yelich+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
6Sal FrelickRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Frelick+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
7Joey Ortiz3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJoey Ortiz+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38479.3%
8Garrett MitchellCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39279.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56615.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
9Cooper PrattSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53415.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+36421.6%Under-55484.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27226.9%Under-40080.0%

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