MLB matchup

09/09/20267:40 PMKauffman StadiumKansas City, MO88°F · Partly sunny

Diamondbacks81 – 74vsRoyals67 – 88

Sharp side

🏠 Royals +100

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.8	52.5%
Kansas City Royals	4.6	47.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	B-	B-
Kansas City Royals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-120-1.5 (+137)

KC+100+1.5 (-166)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-120-1.5 (+135)

KC+100+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over -118Under -102

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-117-1.5 (+133)

KC+104+1.5 (-162)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-120-1.5 (+140)

KC+102+1.5 (-167)

Total 8.5Over -119Under +100

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-115-1.5 (+142)

KC+105+1.5 (-162)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-120-1.5 (+135)

KC+100+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-120-1.5 (+140)

KC+102+1.5 (-170)

Total 8.5Over -118Under -104

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-120-1.5 (+135)

KC+100+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ARI-125-1.5 (+140)

KC+105+1.5 (-165)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	@ KC	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ KC	W 5–4	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/6/26	@ HOU	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/5/26	@ HOU	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
9/4/26	@ HOU	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs PHI	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	vs PHI	L 1–7	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	vs PHI	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8
8/29/26	@ SF	L 2–7	L -1.5	O 8
8/29/26	@ SF	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Kansas City Royals

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/8/26	vs ARI	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 9
9/7/26	vs ARI	L 4–5	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/6/26	vs TOR	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/5/26	vs TOR	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/4/26	vs TOR	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 10
9/3/26	vs MIA	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9
9/2/26	vs MIA	L 6–9	L -1.5	O 9
9/1/26	vs MIA	L 3–6	L +1.5	U 10
8/30/26	@ CLE	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	@ CLE	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Diamondbacks and Royals
	Statistic
8.5 (8.2)	Hits	8.5 (8.4)
1.8 (1.7)	Doubles	1.9 (1.9)
1.0 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
13.9 (13.2)	Total Bases	13.9 (13.7)
3.4 (3.4)	Walks	3.2 (3.1)
7.4 (7.4)	Strikeouts	7.7 (7.7)
0.7 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.8 (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

DiamondbacksZac GallenConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%

Total Outs Recorded11.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over+11047.6%Under-14158.5%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%

RoyalsDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-11152.6%Under-11553.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%

Starting lineups

Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed

1Ildemaro Vargas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIldemaro Vargas+15806.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42581.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23970.5%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10851.9%
2Ketel MarteDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKetel Marte+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+17436.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
3Geraldo PerdomoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeraldo Perdomo+23004.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45682.0%
Total Hits1.5Over+19334.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16061.5%Under+11646.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
4Nolan Arenado3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNolan Arenado+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49183.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%
5Tim Tawa1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTim Tawa+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-188094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLourdes Gurriel Jr.+16005.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34522.5%Under-52183.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
7James McCannC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJames McCann+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39220.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30975.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12856.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
8Jordan LawlarCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Lawlar+15006.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
9Lars NootbaarRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLars Nootbaar+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58185.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

1Carter JensenC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCarter Jensen+87010.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22969.6%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
2Bobby Witt Jr.SS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBobby Witt Jr.+77011.5%
Total Bases1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42480.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+19034.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38320.7%Under-58985.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
3Vinnie Pasquantino1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVinnie Pasquantino+11008.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48082.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-28073.7%
4Salvador PerezDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSalvador Perez+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
5Michael Massey2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Massey+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48282.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-24270.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29574.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10952.2%
6Nick Loftin3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Loftin+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55084.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-19265.8%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
7John RaveRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Rave+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36378.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
8Kyle IsbelCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Isbel+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9409.6%Under-178094.7%
9Isaac CollinsLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterIsaac Collins+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-168094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial