MLB matchup

09/10/20264:10 PMT-Mobile ParkSeattle, WA

Rangers78 – 77vsMariners72 – 83

Sharp side

🏠 Mariners -120

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Texas Rangers	2.9	46.1%
Seattle Mariners	3.3	53.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Texas Rangers	C	A-	B
Seattle Mariners	B+	A-	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+100+1.5 (-224)

SEA-120-1.5 (+183)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -121

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+100-1.5 (+165)

SEA-120+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+108+1.5 (-215)

SEA-129-1.5 (+170)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +107

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+102-1.5 (+183)

SEA-120+1.5 (-217)

Total 7.0Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+105-1.5 (+170)

SEA-115+1.5 (-195)

Total 7.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX-105-1.5 (+170)

SEA-115+1.5 (-215)

Total 7.0Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+104+1.5 (-225)

SEA-122-1.5 (+184)

Total 6.5Over -128Under +104

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+100-1.5 (+165)

SEA-120+1.5 (-200)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+100+1.5 (-225)

SEA-120-1.5 (+175)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Texas Rangers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	@ SEA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/8/26	@ SEA	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs TB	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/5/26	vs TB	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 7
9/4/26	vs TB	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/3/26	vs TB	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 8
9/2/26	vs ATH	L 2–9	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/1/26	vs ATH	W 8–5	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	vs ATH	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ MIL	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Seattle Mariners

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	vs TEX	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/8/26	vs TEX	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs ATH	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs ATH	L 2–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	vs ATH	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 7
9/3/26	vs ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ BOS	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ BOS	W 9–6	W -1.5	O 7
8/31/26	@ BOS	L 8–9	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ TOR	L 0–7	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rangers and Mariners
	Statistic
6.9 (8.0)	Hits	7.0 (7.7)
1.1 (1.4)	Doubles	1.2 (1.3)
0.9 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.2)
10.9 (13.1)	Total Bases	11.3 (12.8)
3.0 (3.2)	Walks	3.3 (3.4)
8.6 (8.5)	Strikeouts	9.1 (8.9)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RangersJacob deGromConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-14358.8%Under+11247.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

MarinersLogan GilbertConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%

Total Strikeouts7.5Over+11247.2%Under-14358.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%

Starting lineups

Texas RangersConfirmed

1Joc PedersonDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJoc Pederson+78011.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55915.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26972.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
2Corey SeagerSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCorey Seager+72012.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
3Ezequiel Duran3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Duran+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13557.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42781.0%
4Brandon NimmoRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Nimmo+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47817.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
5Wyatt LangfordLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWyatt Langford+9909.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51516.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
6Evan CarterCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEvan Carter+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55815.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33223.1%Under-50083.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
7Jake Burger1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Burger+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
8Nicky Lopez2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNicky Lopez+49002.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44381.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56484.9%
9Danny JansenC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDanny Jansen+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

1J.P. CrawfordSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.P. Crawford+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47917.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45782.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
2Randy ArozarenaLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRandy Arozarena+11008.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44218.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53215.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19365.9%
3Dominic CanzoneDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDominic Canzone+9409.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
4Cal RaleighC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCal Raleigh+83010.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53315.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
5Julio RodriguezCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJulio Rodriguez+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45018.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41080.4%
6Josh Naylor1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Naylor+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41280.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
7Cole Young2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Young+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-40080.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25428.2%Under-36978.7%
8Lazaro MontesRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLazaro Montes+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45882.1%
9Brock Rodden3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrock Rodden+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Hits0.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36478.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32623.5%Under-48983.0%

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