MLB matchup

09/10/20267:40 PMRate FieldChicago, IL74°F · Partly sunny

Pirates78 – 77vsWhite Sox79 – 76

Sharp side

✈️ Pirates -104

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Pittsburgh Pirates	3.7	47.5%
Chicago White Sox	3.9	52.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B	B-
Chicago White Sox	C	B	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-104-1.5 (+158)

CHW-115+1.5 (-193)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -102

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-102-1.5 (+165)

CHW-118+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-110-1.5 (+155)

CHW-108+1.5 (-195)

Total 7.5Over -122Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+100-1.5 (+152)

CHW-120+1.5 (-214)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+107-1.5 (+170)

CHW-117+1.5 (-195)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-105-1.5 (+160)

CHW-115+1.5 (-200)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-104-1.5 (+168)

CHW-112+1.5 (-205)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-105-1.5 (+160)

CHW-115+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-105-1.5 (+165)

CHW-115+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–5–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	@ CHW	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 9
9/8/26	@ CHW	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs LAA	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs LAA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	vs SF	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs SF	L 4–5	L -1.5	P 9
9/1/26	vs SF	W 13–12	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/30/26	@ STL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/29/26	@ STL	W 6–2	W +1.5	P 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ HOU	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ HOU	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/31/26	@ HOU	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/30/26	@ MIN	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and White Sox
	Statistic
7.7 (8.6)	Hits	7.2 (7.8)
1.3 (1.5)	Doubles	1.4 (1.5)
0.9 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.3)
12.0 (13.7)	Total Bases	12.2 (13.3)
3.3 (3.5)	Walks	3.3 (3.5)
9.4 (9.4)	Strikeouts	9.2 (9.2)
0.8 (0.8)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesJared JonesConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-15861.2%Under+12444.6%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%

White SoxHagen SmithConfirmed

Player props4 markets

Earned Runs Allowed0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%

Total Hits Allowed1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Total Outs Recorded6.5Over+10648.5%Under-13858.0%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-15660.9%Under+12245.0%

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

1Konnor GriffinDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKonnor Griffin+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
2Oneil CruzCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterOneil Cruz+86010.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55315.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38979.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
3Bryan ReynoldsLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBryan Reynolds+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
4Nick Gonzales3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNick Gonzales+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13557.4%Under-10250.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
5Brandon Lowe2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Lowe+9809.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
6Rafael Flores Jr.C
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterRafael Flores Jr.+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
7Jake MangumRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Mangum+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52416.0%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51683.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48582.9%
8Spencer Horwitz1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Horwitz+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56215.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35578.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
9Jared TrioloSS
Player props1 market
First Home Run HitterJared Triolo+22004.3%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam AntonacciLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSam Antonacci+15006.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41780.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
2Miguel Vargas3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Vargas+9909.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34822.3%Under-52784.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
3Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMunetaka Murakami+64013.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59414.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
4Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Benintendi+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
5Colson MontgomerySS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColson Montgomery+85010.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54615.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
6Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBraden Montgomery+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52116.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28426.0%Under-41980.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
7Chase Meidroth2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+30003.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45081.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
8Tristan PetersCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTristan Peters+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58514.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28426.0%Under-41980.7%
9Jake RogersC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Rogers+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58614.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44081.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%

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