MLB matchup

09/11/20266:45 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC80°F · Intermittent clouds

Angels60 – 95vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

✈️ Angels +133

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Angels	4.5	46.9%
Washington Nationals	4.8	53.1%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-
Washington Nationals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+133+1.5 (-163)

WSH-161-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+135+1.5 (-160)

WSH-160-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+132+1.5 (-159)

WSH-157-1.5 (+130)

Total 7.5Over -125Under +104

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+140+1.5 (-164)

WSH-165-1.5 (+139)

Total 7.5Over -123Under +104

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+144+1.5 (-160)

WSH-155-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+130+1.5 (-165)

WSH-155-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+132+1.5 (-170)

WSH-156-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+130+1.5 (-165)

WSH-160-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+140+1.5 (-165)

WSH-159-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Angels

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	@ BOS	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9
9/8/26	@ BOS	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs NYY	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	vs NYY	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs NYY	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8
8/30/26	vs PHI	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	@ SD	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ SD	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ SD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ LAD	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ LAD	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/4/26	@ LAD	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
9/2/26	vs ATL	L 0–9	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/1/26	vs ATL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 10
8/31/26	vs MIA	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/30/26	vs MIA	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Angels and Nationals
	Statistic
8.2 (7.7)	Hits	8.2 (8.3)
1.6 (1.5)	Doubles	1.7 (1.7)
1.1 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
13.3 (12.4)	Total Bases	14.2 (14.3)
3.1 (2.9)	Walks	3.3 (3.3)
9.6 (9.7)	Strikeouts	8.6 (8.6)
0.6 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AngelsYusei KikuchiConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-10350.7%Under-12455.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%

NationalsCade CavalliConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%

Total Strikeouts7.5Over+11546.5%Under-14759.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+87010.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45518.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
2Mike TroutCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+82010.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
3Wade MecklerLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWade Meckler+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42881.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
4Vaughn Grissom1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+16805.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
5Moises BallesterosC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMoises Ballesteros+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
6Christian Moore2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52216.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
7Josh LoweRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Lowe+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53315.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58114.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
8Denzer Guzman3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzer Guzman+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-41080.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
9Adam FrazierDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAdam Frazier+28003.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56914.9%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35222.1%Under-53484.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9809.3%Under-188094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1James WoodRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJames Wood+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58714.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
2Andres ChaparroDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Chaparro+75011.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
3Brady House3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrady House+9309.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33477.0%
4CJ AbramsSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
5Dylan CrewsLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59585.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+44318.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
6Yohandy Morales1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterYohandy Morales+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
7Harry FordC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHarry Ford+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51516.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
8Jorbit Vivas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJorbit Vivas+28003.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57514.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43681.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35077.8%
9Jacob YoungCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54915.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial