MLB matchup

09/11/20267:10 PMloanDepot parkMiami, FL

Dodgers95 – 60vsMarlins76 – 79

Sharp side

✈️ Dodgers -209

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.7	67.1%
Miami Marlins	3.0	32.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Dodgers	A+	A	A+
Miami Marlins	C	C+	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-209-1.5 (-118)

MIA+171+1.5 (-102)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-190-1.5 (-115)

MIA+155+1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-215-1.5 (-124)

MIA+175+1.5 (+102)

Total 7.5Over -104Under -118

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-205-1.5 (-115)

MIA+170+1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-187-1.5 (-115)

MIA+173+1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-200-1.5 (-115)

MIA+165+1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-198-1.5 (-115)

MIA+166+1.5 (-104)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -122

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-220-1.5 (-115)

MIA+170+1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-198-1.5 (-115)

MIA+173+1.5 (-105)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Dodgers

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	vs CIN	W 14–1	W -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	vs CIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/7/26	vs CIN	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs WSH	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs WSH	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7
9/4/26	vs WSH	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
9/3/26	vs STL	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/2/26	vs STL	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 8
9/1/26	vs STL	L 8–13	L -1.5	O 9
8/30/26	@ DET	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Marlins

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	vs NYM	L 14–15	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs NYM	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs NYM	L 4–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	vs CHC	W 10–3	W +1.5	O 8
9/5/26	vs CHC	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/4/26	vs CHC	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8
9/3/26	@ KC	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 9
9/2/26	@ KC	W 9–6	W +1.5	O 9
9/1/26	@ KC	W 6–3	W -1.5	U 10
8/31/26	@ WSH	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Dodgers and Marlins
	Statistic
8.4 (8.6)	Hits	7.1 (8.3)
1.6 (1.6)	Doubles	1.3 (1.6)
1.3 (1.3)	Home Runs	0.7 (1.0)
14.0 (14.4)	Total Bases	10.9 (13.4)
3.7 (3.8)	Walks	3.0 (3.4)
8.1 (8.1)	Strikeouts	8.2 (8.1)
0.4 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

DodgersBlake SnellConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-18865.3%Under+14041.7%

Total Strikeouts7.5Over+10548.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%

MarlinsRyan GustoConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%

Total Outs Recorded13.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13457.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles DodgersConfirmed

1Tommy EdmanCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTommy Edman+12807.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55684.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+18135.6%Under-24571.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12444.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
2Max Muncy3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+52915.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33223.1%Under-50083.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22068.8%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
3Mookie BettsSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMookie Betts+12607.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46282.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-184094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
4Kyle TuckerRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Tucker+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
5Will SmithC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWill Smith+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
6Teoscar HernandezLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTeoscar Hernandez+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56685.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9109.9%Under-172094.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
7Josue De PaulaDH
8Alex Freeland2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Freeland+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+86010.4%Under-160094.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
9Enrique Hernandez1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEnrique Hernandez+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52684.0%

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

1Heriberto HernandezLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHeriberto Hernandez+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44181.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18464.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
2Otto LopezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterOtto Lopez+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19165.6%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46982.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%
3Jakob MarseeCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJakob Marsee+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48082.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45582.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
4Javier Sanoja3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJavier Sanoja+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45081.8%
5Agustin RamirezC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAgustin Ramirez+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52216.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43181.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51416.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
6Kyle Stowers1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Stowers+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56215.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29274.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
7Esteury RuizRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEsteury Ruiz+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57614.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54484.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39579.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42981.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
8Jared Serna2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJared Serna+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Hits0.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57785.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41580.6%
9Griffin ConineDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGriffin Conine+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Hits0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45582.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25571.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%

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