MLB matchup

09/11/20267:40 PMAmerican Family FieldMilwaukee, WI

Reds72 – 83vsBrewers97 – 58

Sharp side

✈️ Reds +169

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cincinnati Reds	3.6	41.6%
Milwaukee Brewers	4.5	58.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Cincinnati Reds	C	C	C
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	B-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+169+1.5 (-126)

MIL-207-1.5 (+104)

Total 8.0Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+170+1.5 (-130)

MIL-210-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+170+1.5 (-134)

MIL-200-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -109

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+170+1.5 (-130)

MIL-205-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+175+1.5 (-125)

MIL-189-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+165+1.5 (-125)

MIL-200-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+168+1.5 (-126)

MIL-200-1.5 (+105)

Total 8.5Over +102Under -124

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+165+1.5 (-130)

MIL-200-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+165+1.5 (-130)

MIL-195-1.5 (+110)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cincinnati Reds

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	@ LAD	L 1–14	L +1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ LAD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/7/26	@ LAD	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIL	W 12–8	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIL	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 9
9/4/26	vs MIL	L 7–10	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/2/26	vs SD	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9.5
9/1/26	vs SD	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 9
8/31/26	vs SD	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 9
8/30/26	@ CHC	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	vs CHC	W 8–6	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/8/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	P 7
9/7/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/6/26	@ CIN	L 8–12	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CIN	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 9
9/4/26	@ CIN	W 10–7	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/3/26	@ CHC	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ CHC	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ CHC	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 10
8/31/26	@ CHC	L 3–17	L -1.5	O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Reds and Brewers
	Statistic
7.2 (7.6)	Hits	8.2 (8.5)
1.3 (1.4)	Doubles	1.6 (1.7)
1.2 (1.3)	Home Runs	0.9 (0.9)
12.3 (13.1)	Total Bases	12.7 (13.3)
3.4 (3.5)	Walks	4.0 (4.1)
9.5 (9.5)	Strikeouts	8.4 (8.4)
0.7 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.9 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RedsAndrew AbbottConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+13442.7%Under-17163.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%

BrewersDustin MayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-12555.6%Under-10250.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Starting lineups

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

1Hector RodriguezRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHector Rodriguez+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47917.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43181.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42981.1%
2Elly De La CruzSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterElly De La Cruz+79011.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39420.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
3Sal Stewart1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSal Stewart+9609.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42419.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
4JJ BledayLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJJ Bleday+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
5Tyler StephensonC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Stephenson+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
6Eugenio SuarezDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEugenio Suarez+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49916.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11553.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
7Carlos JorgeCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Jorge+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27826.5%Under-41080.4%
8Matt McLain2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt McLain+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57414.8%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-10651.5%Under-12655.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49583.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41580.6%
9Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKe'Bryan Hayes+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54615.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+76011.6%
Total Bases1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45682.0%
Total Hits1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11346.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49616.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
2Brice Turang2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrice Turang+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48617.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
3William ContrerasC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+9209.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
4Andrew VaughnDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Vaughn+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
5Jake Bauers1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Bauers+84010.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
6Luis LaraRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Lara+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15639.1%Under-20967.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20967.6%
7Cooper PrattSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49283.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
8Garrett MitchellCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28474.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59714.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
9Joey Ortiz3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJoey Ortiz+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53415.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%

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