MLB matchup

09/11/20268:15 PMBusch StadiumSt. Louis, MO81°F · Showers

White Sox79 – 76vsCardinals75 – 80

Sharp side

🏠 Cardinals -114

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago White Sox	4.2	47.1%
St. Louis Cardinals	4.5	52.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago White Sox	C	C	C
St. Louis Cardinals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-106-1.5 (+157)

STL-114+1.5 (-192)

Total 7.5Over -117Under -103

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-105-1.5 (+155)

STL-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -102

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+102-1.5 (+165)

STL-115+1.5 (-215)

Total 8.0Over -103Under -118

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-105-1.5 (+158)

STL-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-110-1.5 (+165)

STL+100+1.5 (-190)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-105-1.5 (+160)

STL-115+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-106-1.5 (+158)

STL-110+1.5 (-192)

Total 7.5Over -120Under -102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-110-1.5 (+155)

STL-110+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-102-1.5 (+160)

STL-111+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago White Sox

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/10/26	vs PIT	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ HOU	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ HOU	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/31/26	@ HOU	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

St. Louis Cardinals

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	@ SF	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ SF	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ SF	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	@ COL	W 10–8	W -1.5	O 11
9/5/26	@ COL	L 7–10	L -1.5	O 11
9/4/26	@ COL	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 11
9/3/26	@ LAD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/2/26	@ LAD	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 8
9/1/26	@ LAD	W 13–8	W +1.5	O 9
8/30/26	vs PIT	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for White Sox and Cardinals
	Statistic
7.4 (7.8)	Hits	8.2 (8.2)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.2 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.0)
12.6 (13.3)	Total Bases	12.9 (13.0)
3.4 (3.5)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
9.2 (9.2)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.0)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

White SoxAnthony KayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12943.7%Under-16562.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

CardinalsMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+11746.1%Under-14959.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%

Starting lineups

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Chase Meidroth2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+16205.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59485.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10249.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
2Randal GrichukLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRandal Grichuk+60014.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
3Miguel Vargas1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Vargas+76011.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32523.5%Under-48783.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21668.4%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
4Colson Montgomery3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColson Montgomery+10009.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
5Edgar QueroDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEdgar Quero+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44218.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39980.0%
6Brenton DoyleCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrenton Doyle+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29625.3%Under-44081.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
7Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBraden Montgomery+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38479.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10608.6%Under-210095.5%
8Jake RogersC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Rogers+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
9Luisangel AcunaSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLuisangel Acuna+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12145.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44281.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17163.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51483.7%

St. Louis CardinalsConfirmed

1Jose Fermin3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Fermin+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20266.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53584.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29025.6%Under-43081.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
2Ivan HerreraDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIvan Herrera+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
3Jordan WalkerRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Walker+82010.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48382.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-26072.2%Under+19234.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
4Alec Burleson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlec Burleson+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
5Joshua BáezLF
6Leo BernalC
7Thomas Saggese2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterThomas Saggese+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38979.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
8Masyn WinnSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMasyn Winn+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+88010.2%Under-164094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
9Nathan ChurchCF
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Church+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55715.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48582.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%

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