MLB matchup

09/11/20269:40 PMSutter Health ParkWest Sacramento, CA86°F · Clear

Mariners72 – 83vsAthletics61 – 94

Sharp side

🏠 Athletics +138

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 10.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Seattle Mariners	5.5	61.4%
Athletics	4.3	38.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Seattle Mariners	B	B+	B+
Athletics	C-	C	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-167-1.5 (-106)

ATH+138+1.5 (-114)

Total 10.5Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-160-1.5 (-105)

ATH+135+1.5 (-115)

Total 10.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-159-1.5 (-103)

ATH+138+1.5 (-120)

Total 10.0Over -118Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-165-1.5 (-105)

ATH+140+1.5 (-115)

Total 10.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-158-1.5 (-105)

ATH+147+1.5 (-115)

Total 10.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-165-1.5 (-105)

ATH+135+1.5 (-115)

Total 10.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-166-1.5 (-110)

ATH+140+1.5 (-110)

Total 10.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-170-1.5 (-105)

ATH+140+1.5 (-115)

Total 10.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-165-1.5 (-105)

ATH+140+1.5 (-115)

Total 10.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Seattle Mariners

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–2–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/10/26	vs TEX	W 4–3	W +1.5	P 7
9/9/26	vs TEX	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/8/26	vs TEX	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs ATH	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs ATH	L 2–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	vs ATH	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 7
9/3/26	vs ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ BOS	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ BOS	W 9–6	W -1.5	O 7
8/31/26	@ BOS	L 8–9	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Athletics

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/9/26	vs TOR	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs TOR	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/7/26	vs TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ SEA	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ SEA	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	@ SEA	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/3/26	@ SEA	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/2/26	@ TEX	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/1/26	@ TEX	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ TEX	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mariners and Athletics
	Statistic
8.8 (7.7)	Hits	8.3 (8.3)
1.5 (1.3)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.6 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.2)
15.3 (12.7)	Total Bases	13.6 (13.6)
3.6 (3.4)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
8.8 (9.0)	Strikeouts	8.6 (8.6)
0.8 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarinersGeorge KirbyConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%

Total Hits Allowed6.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-13156.7%Under+10349.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+17236.8%Under-23269.9%

AthleticsJeffrey SpringsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed3.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+13742.2%Under-18264.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-16161.7%Under+12644.2%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%

Starting lineups

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

1J.P. CrawfordSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.P. Crawford+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55884.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+19334.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
2Randy ArozarenaLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRandy Arozarena+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+16338.0%Under-22068.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
3Dominic CanzoneRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDominic Canzone+76011.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34522.5%Under-52283.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
4Cal RaleighC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCal Raleigh+48817.0%
Total Bases1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59785.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10149.8%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-16261.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
5Julio RodriguezCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJulio Rodriguez+82010.9%
Total Bases1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50183.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+19234.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
6Josh Naylor1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Naylor+15006.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36421.6%Under-55684.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+18635.0%Under-25371.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
7Taylor WardDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51383.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24270.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
8Cole Young2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Young+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25471.8%
9Weston Wilson3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterWeston Wilson+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19766.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+14406.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40719.7%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits1.5Over+17336.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17463.5%Under+12544.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
2Jeff McNeil2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49283.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+17935.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51183.6%
3Zack Gelof3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33722.9%Under-50883.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54684.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+14006.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39520.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
5Max MuncyDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+16205.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59185.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
6Donovan WaltonSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDonovan Walton+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19165.6%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
7Tommy White1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTommy White+25003.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31923.9%Under-47782.7%
8Carlos CortesLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Cortes+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49516.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56184.9%
9Jonah HeimC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJonah Heim+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47017.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%

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