MLB matchup

09/11/202610:15 PMOracle ParkSan Francisco, CA64°F · Intermittent clouds

Padres91 – 71vsGiants65 – 97

Sharp side

✈️ Padres -163

Model value

Model trendSan Francisco Giants games: +4.53 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring San Francisco Giants went 17–13 (56.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.53 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model trendSan Diego Padres games: +10.44 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring San Diego Padres went 24–11 (68.6%) this season, for an estimated profit of 10.44 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
San Diego Padres	4.8	60.8%
San Francisco Giants	3.8	39.2%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
San Diego Padres	B+	B	B
San Francisco Giants	D+	C-	C-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Oracle Park in San Francisco

Padres vs. Giants Preview: San Diego Faces a Real Road PriceSan Diego brings the stronger season record and a modest projected offensive edge to San Francisco, but the road moneyline already carries a substantial premium.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-163-1.5 (+109)

SF+134+1.5 (-131)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-165-1.5 (+105)

SF+135+1.5 (-130)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -102

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-152-1.5 (+110)

SF+133+1.5 (-134)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -108

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-165-1.5 (+110)

SF+140+1.5 (-130)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-152-1.5 (+110)

SF+141+1.5 (-130)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-165-1.5 (+110)

SF+135+1.5 (-135)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-156-1.5 (+114)

SF+132+1.5 (-134)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-155-1.5 (+110)

SF+130+1.5 (-135)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

SD-159-1.5 (+115)

SF+140+1.5 (-135)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

San Diego Padres

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/9/26	vs WSH	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs WSH	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs WSH	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	vs NYY	W 4–3	W +1.5	P 7
9/5/26	vs NYY	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs NYY	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 7
9/2/26	@ CIN	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 9.5
9/1/26	@ CIN	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 9
8/31/26	@ CIN	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 9
8/30/26	@ TB	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

San Francisco Giants

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/9/26	vs STL	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 8
9/8/26	vs STL	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	vs STL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	@ NYM	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
9/5/26	@ NYM	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ NYM	L 6–10	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/3/26	@ PIT	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	@ PIT	W 5–4	W +1.5	P 9
9/1/26	@ PIT	L 12–13	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/31/26	@ ATL	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Padres and Giants
	Statistic
8.4 (7.9)	Hits	7.8 (8.2)
1.5 (1.4)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.2 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.1)
13.8 (12.9)	Total Bases	12.7 (13.4)
3.5 (3.4)	Walks	2.8 (2.9)
7.8 (8.0)	Strikeouts	8.2 (8.1)
1.0 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PadresRobbie RayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-10751.7%Under-11954.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-17363.4%Under+12943.7%

GiantsAnthony MolinaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-10551.2%Under-12154.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%

Starting lineups

San Diego PadresConfirmed

1Fernando Tatis Jr.2B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17463.5%Under+12544.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51883.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
2Jake Cronenworth1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35578.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
3Manny Machado3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+19633.8%Under-26772.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
4Luis CampusanoDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40919.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
5Jackson MerrillCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45582.0%
Total Hits1.5Over+20033.3%Under-27273.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36478.4%
6Xander BogaertsSS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57314.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
7Samad TaylorLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29874.9%
8Dustin HarrisRF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45381.9%
9Freddy FerminC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%

San Francisco GiantsConfirmed

1Jonah CoxCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46017.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54284.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
2Rafael DeversDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
3Bryce Eldridge1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
4Osleivis Basabe2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47017.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38779.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-154093.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
5Turner HillLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
6Shay Whitcomb3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43181.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
7Jung Hoo LeeRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28373.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
8Andrew KniznerC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44981.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36378.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31424.2%Under-47082.5%
9Christian KossSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55115.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46682.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37979.1%

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