CFB matchup
09/12/202612:00 PMDowdy-Ficklen StadiumGreenville, NC

App State3 – 0vsEast Carolina1 – 2

Sharp side
✈️ App State +6.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 55.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
App State Mountaineers25.935.4%
East Carolina Pirates31.264.6%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
App State MountaineersD-D-D-
East Carolina PiratesC+C+C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+205+6.5 (-108)
ECU-250-6.5 (-112)
Total 55.5Over -112Under -108
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+200+6.5 (-110)
ECU-235-6.5 (-108)
Total 55.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+200+6.5 (-109)
ECU-250-6.5 (-114)
Total 56.5Over -110Under -113
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+200+6.5 (-106)
ECU-245-6.5 (-113)
Total 55.5Over -114Under -105
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+200+6.5 (-115)
ECU-235-6.5 (-105)
Total 56.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+188+6.5 (-112)
ECU-230-6.5 (-108)
Total 55.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+195+6.5 (-105)
ECU-260-6.5 (-115)
Total 55.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
APP+195+6.5 (-110)
ECU-230-6.5 (-110)
Total 55.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

App State Mountaineers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs MEW 55–3W -21O 53.5
12/29/25vs GASOL 10–29L +10U 58.5
11/29/25vs ARSTL 29–30W +1.5O 54.5
11/22/25vs MRSHW 26–24W +3.5U 57.5
11/15/25@ JMUL 10–58L +19.5O 54.5
11/6/25vs GASOL 23–25L -4.5U 61.5
10/25/25@ ODUL 21–24W +12.5U 60.5
10/18/25vs CCUL 37–45L -10.5O 47.5
10/11/25@ GASTW 41–20W -2.5O 55.5
10/4/25vs ORSTW 27–23W -2.5U 54.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

East Carolina Pirates

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26@ ALAL 10–48L +28.5O 52.5
12/27/25vs PITTW 23–17W +13.5U 51.5
11/29/25@ FAUW 42–3W -6.5U 66.5
11/22/25@ UTSAL 24–58L -2.5O 61.5
11/15/25vs MEMW 31–27W -2.5O 57.5
11/8/25vs CLTW 48–22L -29.5O 56.5
11/1/25@ TEMW 45–14W -5.5O 58.5
10/16/25vs TLSAW 41–27L -16.5O 54.5
10/9/25@ TULNL 19–26L +6.5U 53.5
9/25/25vs ARMYW 28–6W -3.5U 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for App State and East Carolina
Statistic
376.7 (379.4)Total Yards427.6 (419.9)
247.4 (248.8)Passing Yards248.4 (246.6)
22.9 (23.0)Pass Completions19.7 (19.5)
38.1 (38.1)Pass Attempts31.1 (30.8)
129.3 (130.6)Rushing Yards179.2 (173.3)
31.6 (31.8)Rushing Attempts43.5 (42.9)
21.2 (21.3)First Downs22.4 (21.9)



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