MLB matchup

09/12/20261:10 PMComerica ParkDetroit, MI79°F · Showers

Rockies57 – 98vsTigers73 – 82

Sharp side

🏠 Tigers -167

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Rockies	3.3	25.0%
Detroit Tigers	5.9	75.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Colorado Rockies	F	F	F
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+138+1.5 (-155)

DET-167-1.5 (+128)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+135+1.5 (-155)

DET-165-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+128+1.5 (-155)

DET-155-1.5 (+128)

Total 8.5Over -117Under -105

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+140+1.5 (-155)

DET-165-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+144+1.5 (-150)

DET-155-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+135+1.5 (-160)

DET-165-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+140+1.5 (-170)

DET-166-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+145+1.5 (-155)

DET-170-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

COL+140+1.5 (-160)

DET-165-1.5 (+135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Rockies

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	@ DET	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
9/10/26	@ NYY	L 3–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ NYY	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ NYY	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs STL	L 8–10	L +1.5	O 11
9/5/26	vs STL	W 10–7	W +1.5	O 11
9/4/26	vs STL	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 11
9/2/26	vs BAL	W 6–5	W +1.5	U 11.5
9/1/26	vs BAL	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 11
8/31/26	vs BAL	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 11

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Tigers

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	vs COL	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
9/9/26	vs MIN	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs MIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	vs MIN	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ MIN	W 11–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ MIN	L 2–15	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockies and Tigers
	Statistic
7.4 (8.5)	Hits	9.3 (7.9)
1.5 (1.7)	Doubles	1.8 (1.5)
0.8 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.5 (1.1)
11.7 (13.9)	Total Bases	16.1 (13.0)
2.8 (3.1)	Walks	3.8 (3.5)
9.1 (8.9)	Strikeouts	8.8 (9.0)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RockiesTanner GordonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-15360.5%Under+12045.5%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%

TigersAndrew SearsConfirmed

Starting lineups

Colorado RockiesConfirmed

1Jake McCarthyLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake McCarthy+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35122.2%Under-53384.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-25772.0%Under+18934.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10150.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44981.8%
2Connor Norby2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterConnor Norby+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35022.2%Under-53184.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35077.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
3Hunter GoodmanC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHunter Goodman+60014.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
4TJ Rumfield1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTJ Rumfield+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52915.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
5Cole CarriggCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Carrigg+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40719.7%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34777.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
6Kyle Karros3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Karros+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
7Jordan BeckRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Beck+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-182094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45281.9%
8Adael AmadorDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAdael Amador+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43081.1%
9Ezequiel TovarSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Tovar+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48817.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45782.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigle3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40280.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-26272.4%Under+19334.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
2Hao-Yu Lee2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterHao-Yu Lee+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36221.6%Under-55184.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-25571.8%Under+18834.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42881.1%
3Colt KeithDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterColt Keith+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45582.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24270.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12755.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-168094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
4Riley GreeneLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRiley Greene+75011.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56785.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24370.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
5Eduardo ValenciaC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEduardo Valencia+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36821.4%Under-56184.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23269.9%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35022.2%Under-53184.2%
6Max ClarkCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+19404.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56084.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9309.7%Under-176094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46182.2%
7Spencer Torkelson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Torkelson+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27273.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
8Brett CallahanRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Callahan+18405.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37979.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50483.4%
9John PeckSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Peck+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40719.7%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59114.5%Under-99090.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+46117.8%Under-73088.0%

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