MLB matchup

09/12/20263:07 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Orioles75 – 80vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side

✈️ Orioles +113

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Baltimore Orioles	3.8	47.4%
Toronto Blue Jays	4.1	52.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Baltimore Orioles	B	B-	B
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+113+1.5 (-194)

TOR-136-1.5 (+159)

Total 8.0Over -118Under -102

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+115+1.5 (-190)

TOR-140-1.5 (+154)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+116+1.5 (-186)

TOR-139-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -113Under -108

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+110+1.5 (-195)

TOR-130-1.5 (+162)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+115+1.5 (-185)

TOR-125-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+110+1.5 (-190)

TOR-130-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+116+1.5 (-194)

TOR-136-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+105+1.5 (-195)

TOR-125-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+115+1.5 (-200)

TOR-135-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Baltimore Orioles

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	@ TOR	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/9/26	vs CLE	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs CLE	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs CLE	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs BOS	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs BOS	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs BOS	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 8
9/3/26	vs BOS	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/2/26	@ COL	L 5–6	L -1.5	U 11.5
9/1/26	@ COL	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 11

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	vs BAL	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ ATH	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ ATH	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ KC	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/5/26	@ KC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/4/26	@ KC	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 10
9/3/26	@ CLE	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ CLE	W 11–0	W -1.5	O 7
9/1/26	@ CLE	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Orioles and Blue Jays
	Statistic
7.2 (7.6)	Hits	8.4 (8.5)
1.3 (1.4)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.1 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.0)
12.0 (12.9)	Total Bases	13.1 (13.4)
3.6 (3.7)	Walks	2.8 (2.8)
9.4 (9.3)	Strikeouts	7.2 (7.1)
0.6 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

OriolesKyle BradishConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-15060.0%Under+11746.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%

Blue JaysSpencer MilesConfirmed

Starting lineups

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Dylan BeaversLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42419.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41880.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40919.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18965.4%
2Pete Alonso1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
3Jackson Holliday2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
4Coby MayoDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
5Gunnar HendersonSS
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
6Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
7Heston KjerstadRF
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
8Colton CowserCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31823.9%Under-47682.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59614.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
9Carlos NarvaezC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Hits0.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32523.5%Under-48883.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41280.5%

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+15139.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-24270.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11546.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+86010.4%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
2George SpringerDH
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56885.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-28073.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57285.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-27273.1%Under+20033.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
4Alejandro KirkC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25571.8%Under+18834.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10449.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
5Nathan LukesRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14659.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
6Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
7Josh Smith2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39279.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24070.6%
8Andres GimenezSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
9Rudy Martin Jr.LF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%

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