CFB matchup
09/12/20263:30 PMGies Memorial StadiumChampaign, IL

Duke3 – 0vsIllinois2 – 1

Sharp side
🏠 Illinois -6.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 51.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Duke Blue Devils23.031.7%
Illinois Fighting Illini29.768.3%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Duke Blue DevilsBBB
Illinois Fighting IlliniB+A-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+205+6.5 (-112)
ILL-250-6.5 (-108)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+200+6.5 (-110)
ILL-235-6.5 (-108)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+175+6.0 (-110)
ILL-225-6.0 (-113)
Total 51.5Over -113Under -109
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+196+6.0 (-110)
ILL-240-6.0 (-109)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -109
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+205+6.0 (-105)
ILL-240-6.0 (-115)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+198+6.5 (-110)
ILL-245-6.5 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+200+6.5 (-110)
ILL-260-6.5 (-110)
Total 50.5Over -115Under -105
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
DUKE+210+6.5 (-110)
ILL-250-6.5 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Duke Blue Devils

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs TULNW 17–3W -9.5U 51.5
12/31/25vs ASUW 42–39L -4O 49.5
12/6/25vs UVAW 27–20W +3.5U 58.5
11/29/25vs WAKEW 49–32W -2.5O 53.5
11/22/25@ UNCW 32–25W -6.5O 50.5
11/15/25vs UVAL 17–34L -5.5U 60.5
11/8/25@ CONNL 34–37L -7.5O 62.5
11/1/25@ CLEMW 46–45W +4.5O 55.5
10/18/25vs GTL 18–27L -3.5U 61.5
10/4/25@ CALW 45–21W -3.5O 55.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/3/26vs UABW 42–23L -25.5O 53.5
12/30/25vs TENNW 30–28W +3U 61.5
11/29/25vs NUW 20–13L -7.5U 44.5
11/22/25@ WISL 10–27L -8.5U 41.5
11/15/25vs MDW 24–6W -15.5U 51.5
11/1/25vs RUTGW 35–13W -12.5U 63.5
10/25/25@ WASHL 25–42L +3.5O 54.5
10/11/25vs OSUL 16–34L +15.5U 51.5
10/4/25@ PURW 43–27W -7.5O 55.5
9/27/25vs USCW 34–32W +6.5O 62.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Duke and Illinois
Statistic
378.7 (409.5)Total Yards376.3 (361.1)
237.3 (260.1)Passing Yards232.4 (226.7)
21.9 (22.8)Pass Completions18.4 (18.7)
35.5 (35.5)Pass Attempts27.3 (28.0)
141.4 (149.5)Rushing Yards143.9 (134.4)
35.3 (35.0)Rushing Attempts34.5 (33.8)
20.9 (22.3)First Downs21.1 (20.6)



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