CFB matchup
09/12/20263:30 PMHuntington Bank StadiumMinneapolis, MN

Mississippi State3 – 0vsMinnesota2 – 1

Sharp side
✈️ Mississippi State +1.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 54.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Mississippi State Bulldogs26.758.3%
Minnesota Golden Gophers23.741.7%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Mississippi State BulldogsA-B-B
Minnesota Golden GophersB-BB
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-110+1.5 (-120)
MINN-110-1.5 (+100)
Total 54.5Over -112Under -108
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-108+1.0 (-112)
MINN-110-1.0 (-105)
Total 54.5Over -112Under -105
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-109+0.5 (-109)
MINN-114-0.5 (-114)
Total 54.0Over -122Under +100
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-1100.0 (-110)
MINN-1100.0 (-110)
Total 54.5Over -114Under -105
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-120-1.0 (-110)
MINN+100+1.0 (-110)
Total 53.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-111-1.5 (-104)
MINN-108+1.5 (-118)
Total 53.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-115+0.5 (-115)
MINN-105-0.5 (-105)
Total 54.5Over -105Under -115
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST-120-1.5 (-110)
MINN+100+1.5 (-110)
Total 53.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Overall2–8–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs ULMW 62–13W -28.5O 54.5
1/2/26vs WAKEL 29–43L -3O 52.5
11/28/25vs MISSL 19–38L +7.5U 62.5
11/15/25@ MIZL 27–49L +7.5O 50.5
11/8/25vs UGAL 21–41L +9.5O 56.5
11/1/25@ ARKW 38–35W +5.5O 66.5
10/25/25vs TEXL 38–45W +8.5O 49.5
10/18/25@ FLAL 21–23W +9.5U 51.5
10/4/25@ TA&ML 9–31L +17.5U 57.5
9/27/25vs TENNL 34–41W +7.5O 63.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/3/26vs EIUW 59–7W -42.5O 52.5
12/26/25vs UNMW 20–17W -1.5U 44.5
11/29/25vs WISW 17–7W +2.5U 38.5
11/22/25@ NUL 35–38W +4.5O 41.5
11/14/25@ OREL 13–42L +26.5O 45.5
11/1/25vs MSUW 23–20L -5.5U 44.5
10/25/25@ IOWAL 3–41L +7.5O 39.5
10/17/25vs NEBW 24–6W +6.5U 48.5
10/11/25vs PURW 27–20L -7.5U 49.5
10/4/25@ OSUL 3–42L +23.5O 42.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mississippi State and Minnesota
Statistic
387.1 (428.4)Total Yards289.3 (281.6)
231.2 (249.5)Passing Yards198.2 (191.8)
18.3 (18.7)Pass Completions20.7 (20.4)
29.7 (30.2)Pass Attempts31.9 (31.7)
155.9 (178.9)Rushing Yards91.1 (89.8)
43.2 (42.9)Rushing Attempts27.1 (27.0)
21.6 (23.0)First Downs16.5 (16.2)



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