CFB matchup
09/12/20263:30 PMBobcat Stadium (TX)San Marcos, TX

UTSA2 – 1vsTexas State1 – 2

Sharp side
✈️ UTSA +2.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 65.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
UTSA Roadrunners33.953.6%
Texas State Bobcats32.646.4%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
UTSA RoadrunnersB-CC+
Texas State BobcatsB-CC+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+114+2.5 (-110)
TXST-135-2.5 (-110)
Total 65.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+110+2.5 (-110)
TXST-135-2.5 (-108)
Total 65.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+104+2.0 (-110)
TXST-129-2.0 (-113)
Total 66.5Over -108Under -118
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+112+2.5 (-109)
TXST-132-2.5 (-110)
Total 65.5Over -108Under -112
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+110+2.0 (-110)
TXST-130-2.0 (-110)
Total 65.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+112+2.5 (-110)
TXST-134-2.5 (-110)
Total 65.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+110+2.5 (-115)
TXST-130-2.5 (-105)
Total 65.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
UTSA+115+2.5 (-110)
TXST-135-2.5 (-110)
Total 65.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

UTSA Roadrunners

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs RGVW 45–16W -28.5O 59.5
12/26/25vs FIUW 57–20W -7.5O 63.5
11/29/25vs ARMYL 24–27L -8.5O 50.5
11/22/25vs ECUW 58–24W +2.5O 61.5
11/15/25@ CLTW 28–7W -17.5U 57.5
11/6/25@ USFL 23–55L +13.5O 66.5
10/30/25vs TULNW 48–26W +5.5O 54.5
10/18/25@ UNTL 17–55L +3.5O 63.5
10/11/25vs RICEW 61–13W -9.5O 48.5
10/4/25@ TEML 21–27L -6.5U 57.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas State Bobcats

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26@ TEXL 7–59L +29.5O 61.5
1/2/26vs RICEW 41–10W -19.5U 55.5
11/29/25vs USAW 49–26W -9.5O 62.5
11/22/25vs ULMW 31–14L -20.5U 60.5
11/15/25@ USMW 41–14W +3.5U 65.5
11/8/25@ ULL 39–42L -3.5O 63.5
10/28/25vs JMUL 20–52L +7.5O 55.5
10/18/25@ MRSHL 37–40L -2.5O 65.5
10/11/25vs TROYL 41–48L -7.5O 53.5
10/4/25@ ARSTL 30–31L -14.5U 63.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for UTSA and Texas State
Statistic
417.4 (427.7)Total Yards455.8 (453.2)
253.2 (258.8)Passing Yards246.9 (245.8)
23.0 (23.1)Pass Completions20.2 (20.3)
33.7 (33.3)Pass Attempts28.5 (28.6)
164.2 (168.9)Rushing Yards208.8 (207.3)
33.5 (33.8)Rushing Attempts43.0 (42.9)
21.4 (22.0)First Downs22.6 (22.5)



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