CFB matchup
09/12/20263:45 PMApogee StadiumDenton, TX

UNLV1 – 2vsNorth Texas1 – 2

Sharp side
✈️ UNLV -3
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 57.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
UNLV Rebels33.663.2%
North Texas Mean Green28.836.8%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
UNLV RebelsB-CC+
North Texas Mean GreenBC+B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-148-3.0 (-102)
UNT+124+3.0 (-118)
Total 57.5Over -115Under -105
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-145-2.5 (-118)
UNT+120+2.5 (-102)
Total 58.5Over -105Under -115
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-139-1.5 (-122)
UNT+110+1.5 (+100)
Total 57.5Over -120Under -107
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-162-3.0 (-112)
UNT+136+3.0 (-108)
Total 57.5Over -116Under -102
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-145-3.0 (+100)
UNT+125+3.0 (-120)
Total 57.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-152-2.5 (-130)
UNT+126+2.5 (+102)
Total 58.5Over -104Under -115
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-140-2.5 (-115)
UNT+120+2.5 (-105)
Total 58.5Over -105Under -115
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
UNLV-145-2.5 (-125)
UNT+125+2.5 (+105)
Total 58.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

UNLV Rebels

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26@ HAWW 21–6W -2.5U 55.5
8/29/26vs MEML 21–27L -4.5U 55.5
12/23/25vs OHIOL 10–17L -6.5U 64.5
12/5/25@ BOISL 21–38L +3.5O 57.5
11/29/25@ NEVW 42–17W -7.5O 52.5
11/21/25vs HAWW 38–10W -2.5U 64.5
11/15/25vs USUW 29–26L -4.5U 68.5
11/8/25@ CSUW 42–10W -4.5U 61.5
11/1/25vs UNML 35–40L -4.5O 60.5
10/18/25@ BOISL 31–56L +13.5O 61.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

North Texas Mean Green

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U7–2–0O–U–P · 9/10 graded
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26@ IUL 16–52W +39.5O 57.5
12/27/25vs SDSUW 49–47L -7.5O 55.5
12/5/25@ TULNL 21–34L -2.5U 67.5
11/28/25vs TEMW 52–25W -20.5
11/22/25@ RICEW 56–24W -18.5O 56.5
11/15/25@ UABW 53–24W -17.5O 69.5
11/1/25vs NAVYW 31–17W -6.5U 68.5
10/24/25@ CLTW 54–20W -25.5O 60.5
10/18/25vs UTSAW 55–17W -3.5O 63.5
10/10/25vs USFL 36–63L -2.5O 68.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for UNLV and North Texas
Statistic
457.2 (445.1)Total Yards433.3 (513.3)
256.1 (248.8)Passing Yards264.8 (316.5)
20.2 (20.0)Pass Completions22.0 (23.5)
31.7 (31.7)Pass Attempts32.4 (33.6)
201.1 (196.2)Rushing Yards168.5 (196.8)
36.3 (36.3)Rushing Attempts38.1 (37.2)
23.5 (23.2)First Downs22.9 (25.3)



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