MLB matchup

09/12/20264:05 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC82°F · Cloudy

Angels60 – 95vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

✈️ Angels +109

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Angels	4.6	46.7%
Washington Nationals	4.9	53.3%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-
Washington Nationals	C	C-	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+109+1.5 (-193)

WSH-132-1.5 (+158)

Total 8.5Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+110+1.5 (-190)

WSH-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+108+1.5 (-195)

WSH-129-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -109Under -112

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+105+1.5 (-195)

WSH-125-1.5 (+162)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+116+1.5 (-190)

WSH-126-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+110+1.5 (-190)

WSH-130-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+112+1.5 (-184)

WSH-132-1.5 (+152)

Total 8.5Over -114Under -106

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+110+1.5 (-190)

WSH-130-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+115+1.5 (-200)

WSH-135-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Angels

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	@ WSH	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ BOS	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9
9/8/26	@ BOS	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs NYY	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	vs NYY	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7
8/31/26	vs NYY	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	vs LAA	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ SD	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ SD	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ SD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ LAD	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ LAD	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/4/26	@ LAD	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
9/2/26	vs ATL	L 0–9	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/1/26	vs ATL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 10
8/31/26	vs MIA	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Angels and Nationals
	Statistic
8.2 (7.6)	Hits	8.3 (8.3)
1.6 (1.4)	Doubles	1.7 (1.7)
1.1 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
13.4 (12.3)	Total Bases	14.3 (14.3)
3.1 (2.9)	Walks	3.3 (3.3)
9.5 (9.7)	Strikeouts	8.6 (8.6)
0.6 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AngelsWalbert UrenaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11653.7%Under-11052.4%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+15339.5%Under-20567.2%

NationalsAndrew AlvarezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+11845.9%Under-15160.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+71012.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49783.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-23670.2%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51016.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
2Mike TroutCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+84010.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39220.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56615.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11152.6%
3Jose SiriLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Siri+80011.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
4Vaughn Grissom1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+17805.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
5Christian Moore2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59785.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
6Oswald PerazaDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterOswald Peraza+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54915.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16662.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
7Denzer Guzman3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzer Guzman+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43918.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10208.9%Under-210095.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
8Kyren ParisRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyren Paris+12607.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52616.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38779.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43518.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
9Tyler HeinemanC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Heineman+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56914.9%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44881.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1James WoodDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJames Wood+73012.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55315.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11247.2%
2Abimelec Ortiz1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAbimelec Ortiz+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%
3Dylan CrewsRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56184.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
4CJ AbramsSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+11408.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59785.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20066.7%
5Brady House3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrady House+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
6Daylen LileLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37820.9%Under-58085.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58214.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
7Keibert RuizC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKeibert Ruiz+15206.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26027.8%Under-38079.2%
8Jorbit Vivas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJorbit Vivas+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17463.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
9Jacob YoungCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40180.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial