MLB matchup

09/12/20264:10 PMTarget FieldMinneapolis, MN74°F · Mostly sunny

Guardians81 – 75vsTwins73 – 83

Sharp side

✈️ Guardians -108

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cleveland Guardians	4.2	56.3%
Minnesota Twins	3.6	43.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Cleveland Guardians	D+	A-	B-
Minnesota Twins	C	C+	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-108-1.5 (+149)

MIN-111+1.5 (-181)

Total 8.0Over -120Under -101

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-110-1.5 (+145)

MIN-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-107-1.5 (+155)

MIN-112+1.5 (-190)

Total 8.5Over -103Under -120

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-110-1.5 (+139)

MIN-110+1.5 (-194)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-105-1.5 (+155)

MIN-105+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-110-1.5 (+150)

MIN-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-108-1.5 (+150)

MIN-108+1.5 (-182)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-110-1.5 (+150)

MIN-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-110-1.5 (+150)

MIN-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cleveland Guardians

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	@ MIN	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ BAL	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ BAL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ BAL	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs DET	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs DET	L 0–6	L -1.5	U 7
9/4/26	vs DET	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs DET	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/3/26	vs TOR	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	vs TOR	L 0–11	L +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Twins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	vs CLE	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ DET	L 2–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ DET	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	@ DET	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CHW	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CHW	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ CHW	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs DET	L 6–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs DET	W 15–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	vs DET	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Guardians and Twins
	Statistic
7.9 (7.8)	Hits	7.5 (8.2)
1.6 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.6)
1.0 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.2)
12.7 (12.5)	Total Bases	12.3 (13.6)
3.5 (3.5)	Walks	2.9 (3.2)
8.0 (8.0)	Strikeouts	8.3 (8.1)
0.9 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

GuardiansDaniel EspinoConfirmed

TwinsConnor PrielippConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12843.9%Under-16462.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Starting lineups

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-26472.5%Under+19434.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45882.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51016.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
2Jose Ramirez3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+16737.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21468.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14659.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43381.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
3Chase DeLauterDH
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10608.6%Under-210095.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
4Jo AdellRF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-22469.1%Under+16737.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11008.3%Under-230095.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
5Angel MartinezLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24971.3%Under+18435.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57414.8%Under-95090.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43381.2%
6David Fry1B
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56015.2%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
7Travis Bazzana2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32876.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
8Austin HedgesC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57314.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44681.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42581.0%

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50283.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34477.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
2Brooks Lee3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21668.4%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
3Kody Clemens2B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54584.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
4Josh BellDH
Player props7 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
5Royce Lewis1B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59285.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
6Kaelen CulpepperSS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50283.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
7Victor CaratiniC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45718.0%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
8Austin MartinLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45518.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
9Emmanuel RodriguezCF

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