CFB matchup
09/12/20266:00 PMAlbertsons StadiumBoise, ID

Memphis3 – 1vsBoise State2 – 1

Sharp side
✈️ Memphis +8.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 54.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Memphis Tigers26.246.4%
Boise State Broncos27.453.6%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Memphis TigersC+BB-
Boise State BroncosBBB
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+285+8.5 (-105)
BOIS-360-8.5 (-115)
Total 54.5Over -118Under -102
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+280+9.0 (-110)
BOIS-350-9.0 (-108)
Total 54.5Over -118Under -102
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+270+8.5 (-112)
BOIS-360-8.5 (-110)
Total 55.0Over -112Under -112
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+280+9.0 (-109)
BOIS-360-9.0 (-110)
Total 55.5Over -118Under -102
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+290+9.0 (-110)
BOIS-350-9.0 (-110)
Total 55.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+265+9.5 (-115)
BOIS-335-9.5 (-105)
Total 55.5Over -106Under -114
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+275+9.5 (-110)
BOIS-375-9.5 (-110)
Total 55.5Over +100Under -120
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM+270+8.5 (-104)
BOIS-315-8.5 (-108)
Total 54.5Over -115Under +102
Recent form

Last 10 games

Memphis Tigers

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs ARSTW 42–24W -10.5O 52.5
8/29/26@ UNLVW 27–21W +4.5U 55.5
12/19/25vs NCSUL 7–31L +3.5U 56.5
11/27/25vs NAVYL 17–28L -4U 57.5
11/15/25@ ECUL 27–31L +2.5O 57.5
11/7/25vs TULNL 32–38L -3.5O 53.5
10/31/25@ RICEW 38–14W -13.5O 48.5
10/25/25vs USFW 34–31W +3.5O 58.5
10/18/25@ UABL 24–31L -23.5U 59.5
10/4/25vs TLSAW 45–7W -21.5U 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boise State Broncos

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26@ OREL 27–34W +24.5O 53.5
12/13/25vs WASHL 10–38L +10U 55.5
12/5/25vs UNLVW 38–21W -3.5O 57.5
11/28/25@ USUW 25–24L -1.5U 55.5
11/22/25vs CSUW 49–21W -17.5O 46.5
11/15/25@ SDSUL 7–17L +2.5U 43.5
11/1/25vs FRESL 7–30L -17.5U 47.5
10/24/25@ NEVW 24–3W -20.5U 51.5
10/18/25vs UNLVW 56–31W -13.5O 61.5
10/11/25vs UNMW 41–25W -15.5O 57.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Memphis and Boise State
Statistic
396.9 (419.9)Total Yards385.5 (399.6)
223.1 (229.6)Passing Yards227.9 (234.2)
21.2 (20.5)Pass Completions18.8 (18.8)
33.1 (31.2)Pass Attempts32.8 (32.6)
173.8 (190.3)Rushing Yards157.5 (165.4)
35.1 (37.0)Rushing Attempts39.2 (39.5)
21.7 (22.7)First Downs21.1 (21.6)



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