MLB matchup

09/12/20267:15 PMBusch StadiumSt. Louis, MO88°F · Mostly sunny

White Sox79 – 76vsCardinals75 – 80

Sharp side

✈️ White Sox -111

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago White Sox	4.4	50.2%
St. Louis Cardinals	4.4	49.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago White Sox	C	C+	C+
St. Louis Cardinals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-111-1.5 (+150)

STL-108+1.5 (-182)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-110-1.5 (+150)

STL-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-112-1.5 (+148)

STL-108+1.5 (-182)

Total 8.5Over -103Under -120

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-110-1.5 (+133)

STL-110+1.5 (-184)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-106-1.5 (+155)

STL-104+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-110-1.5 (+145)

STL-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-108-1.5 (+146)

STL-108+1.5 (-178)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -118

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-110-1.5 (+155)

STL-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW-110-1.5 (+150)

STL-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago White Sox

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	@ STL	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/10/26	vs PIT	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/3/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/2/26	@ HOU	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	@ HOU	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

St. Louis Cardinals

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/26	vs CHW	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/9/26	@ SF	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ SF	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ SF	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	@ COL	W 10–8	W -1.5	O 11
9/5/26	@ COL	L 7–10	L -1.5	O 11
9/4/26	@ COL	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 11
9/3/26	@ LAD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/2/26	@ LAD	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 8
9/1/26	@ LAD	W 13–8	W +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for White Sox and Cardinals
	Statistic
7.6 (7.8)	Hits	8.1 (8.2)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.2 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.0)
13.0 (13.3)	Total Bases	12.8 (13.0)
3.4 (3.5)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
9.2 (9.2)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.0)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

White SoxSean NewcombConfirmed

CardinalsKyle LeahyConfirmed

Player props4 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%

Total Hits Allowed2.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-15160.2%Under+11845.9%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%

Starting lineups

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam AntonacciLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSam Antonacci+16405.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10050.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
2Kyle TeelC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Teel+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
3Miguel Vargas3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Vargas+70012.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51583.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
4Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMunetaka Murakami+75011.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55215.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
5Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Benintendi+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48817.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32876.6%
6Tristan PetersCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTristan Peters+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-13056.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
7Chase Meidroth2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-24971.3%Under+18435.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
8Colson MontgomerySS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterColson Montgomery+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
9Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBraden Montgomery+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50516.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%

St. Louis CardinalsConfirmed

1Jose FerminLF
Player props1 market
First Home Run HitterJose Fermin+14806.3%
2Ivan HerreraDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterIvan Herrera+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38120.8%Under-58685.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24270.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
3Alec Burleson1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlec Burleson+10808.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49883.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-27273.1%Under+20033.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
4Joshua BáezRF
5Leo BernalC
6Nolan Gorman3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNolan Gorman+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
7Thomas Saggese2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterThomas Saggese+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9909.2%Under-192095.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%
8Masyn WinnSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMasyn Winn+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46217.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39579.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
9Nathan ChurchCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Church+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39279.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9309.7%Under-176094.6%

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