CFB matchup
09/12/20267:15 PMRose BowlPasadena, CA

San Diego State1 – 2vsUCLA3 – 0

Sharp side
✈️ San Diego State +13.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 53.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
San Diego State Aztecs22.737.2%
UCLA Bruins27.362.8%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
San Diego State AztecsC+BB-
UCLA BruinsB-C+B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+390+13.5 (-112)
UCLA-520-13.5 (-108)
Total 53.5Over -115Under -105
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+425+13.5 (-110)
UCLA-550-13.5 (-110)
Total 53.5Over -115Under -105
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+440+13.5 (-107)
UCLA-715-13.5 (-115)
Total 54.5Over -112Under -112
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+380+13.0 (-107)
UCLA-500-13.0 (-114)
Total 54.5Over -109Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+395+13.5 (-105)
UCLA-500-13.5 (-115)
Total 54.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+450+13.5 (-108)
UCLA-630-13.5 (-112)
Total 54.5Over -105Under -115
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+425+13.5 (-110)
UCLA-600-13.5 (-110)
Total 54.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
SDSU+425+13.5 (-105)
UCLA-500-13.5 (-115)
Total 54.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

San Diego State Aztecs

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–5–0O–U–P · 9/10 graded
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs PRSTW 53–20L -38.5O 61.5
12/27/25vs UNTL 47–49W +7.5O 55.5
11/28/25@ UNML 17–23L -1.5—
11/22/25vs SJSUW 25–3W -9.5U 51.5
11/15/25vs BOISW 17–7W -2.5U 43.5
11/8/25@ HAWL 6–38L -6.5U 47.5
11/1/25vs WYOW 24–7W -10.5U 41.5
10/25/25@ FRESW 23–0W -3.5U 45.5
10/11/25@ NEVW 44–10W -6.5O 42.5
10/3/25vs CSUW 45–24W -4.5O 40.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

UCLA Bruins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26@ CALW 45–24W -2.5O 53.5
11/29/25@ USCL 10–29W +21.5U 59.5
11/22/25vs WASHL 14–48L +10.5O 51.5
11/15/25@ OSUL 10–48L +32.5O 46.5
11/8/25vs NEBL 21–28L -2.5O 45.5
10/25/25@ IUL 6–56L +27.5O 53.5
10/18/25vs MDW 20–17L -4.5U 52.5
10/11/25@ MSUW 38–13W +6.5U 51.5
10/4/25vs PSUW 42–37W +24.5O 47.5
9/27/25@ NUL 14–17W +6.5U 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for San Diego State and UCLA
Statistic
336.0 (362.3)Total Yards367.6 (331.9)
139.3 (153.2)Passing Yards179.8 (177.8)
11.8 (12.4)Pass Completions17.7 (18.5)
20.7 (20.9)Pass Attempts27.5 (29.1)
196.7 (209.2)Rushing Yards187.7 (154.1)
42.0 (42.4)Rushing Attempts35.2 (31.7)
17.4 (18.4)First Downs18.4 (17.0)



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