CFB matchup
09/12/20267:30 PMKinnick StadiumIowa City, IA

Iowa State2 – 1vsIowa3 – 0

Sharp side
🏠 Iowa -14
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 42.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Iowa State Cyclones12.915.8%
Iowa Hawkeyes27.084.2%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Iowa State CyclonesBBB
Iowa HawkeyesB+AA-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+455+14.0 (-112)
IOWA-625-14.0 (-108)
Total 42.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+450+14.0 (-110)
IOWA-625-14.0 (-108)
Total 42.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+460+15.5 (-122)
IOWA-715-15.5 (+100)
Total 43.0Over +100Under -122
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+475+14.0 (-110)
IOWA-675-14.0 (-109)
Total 41.5Over -106Under -113
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+455+14.0 (-110)
IOWA-600-14.0 (-110)
Total 42.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+470+14.5 (-120)
IOWA-670-14.5 (-102)
Total 42.5Over -112Under -108
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+500+14.5 (-120)
IOWA-750-14.5 (+100)
Total 42.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ISU+475+14.5 (-112)
IOWA-600-14.5 (+100)
Total 42.5Over -110Under -102
Recent form

Last 10 games

Iowa State Cyclones

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs SEMOW 38–10L -29.5U 52.5
11/29/25@ OKSTW 20–13L -13.5U 47.5
11/22/25vs KUW 38–14W -3.5U 55.5
11/8/25@ TCUW 20–17W +7.5U 58.5
11/1/25vs ASUL 19–24L -8.5U 48.5
10/25/25vs BYUL 27–41L -2.5O 49.5
10/11/25@ COLOL 17–24L -2.5U 52.5
10/4/25@ CINL 30–38L +1.5O 55.5
9/27/25vs ARIZW 39–14W -4.5O 48.5
9/13/25@ ARSTW 24–16L -20.5U 55.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs NIUW 40–0W -31.5U 44.5
12/31/25vs VANW 34–27W +3O 47.5
11/28/25@ NEBW 40–16W -5.5O 38.5
11/22/25vs MSUW 20–17L -17.5U 43.5
11/15/25@ USCL 21–26W +6.5U 48.5
11/8/25vs OREL 16–18W +4.5U 42.5
10/25/25vs MINNW 41–3W -7.5O 39.5
10/18/25vs PSUW 25–24L -3.5O 41.5
10/11/25@ WISW 37–0W -4.5U 37.5
9/27/25vs IUL 15–20W +8.5U 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Iowa State and Iowa
Statistic
375.3 (397.6)Total Yards322.8 (341.3)
161.6 (222.9)Passing Yards155.0 (162.3)
15.5 (16.4)Pass Completions14.6 (14.9)
32.9 (28.4)Pass Attempts23.6 (23.8)
213.6 (174.7)Rushing Yards167.7 (179.0)
36.2 (39.1)Rushing Attempts37.0 (37.5)
19.8 (20.7)First Downs17.4 (18.1)



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