CFB matchup
09/12/20267:30 PMFlagler Credit Union StadiumBoca Raton, FL

Navy1 – 1vsFlorida Atlantic2 – 1

Sharp side
✈️ Navy -4
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 59.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Navy Midshipmen34.675.3%
Florida Atlantic Owls25.024.7%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Navy MidshipmenCB-C+
Florida Atlantic OwlsC+DC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-198-4.0 (-112)
FAU+164+4.0 (-108)
Total 59.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-200-4.0 (-112)
FAU+160+4.0 (-108)
Total 59.5Over -108Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-195-4.5 (-110)
FAU+150+4.5 (-113)
Total 59.0Over -112Under -112
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-197-4.5 (-108)
FAU+165+4.5 (-112)
Total 59.5Over -110Under -109
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-185-4.0 (-110)
FAU+160+4.0 (-110)
Total 59.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-194-4.5 (-110)
FAU+160+4.5 (-110)
Total 59.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-190-4.5 (-105)
FAU+160+4.5 (-115)
Total 59.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NAVY-195-4.5 (-110)
FAU+165+4.5 (-110)
Total 59.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Navy Midshipmen

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs TOWW 42–15L -31.5O 50.5
1/2/26vs CINW 35–13W -7.5U 57.5
12/13/25vs ARMYW 17–16L -6U 37.5
11/27/25@ MEMW 28–17W +4U 57.5
11/15/25vs USFW 41–38W +8.5O 62.5
11/8/25@ NDL 10–49L +30.5O 54.5
11/1/25@ UNTL 17–31L +6.5U 68.5
10/25/25vs FAUW 42–32L -14.5O 63.5
10/11/25@ TEMW 32–31L -10.5O 52.5
10/4/25vs AFW 34–31L -13.5O 51.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26@ FLAL 21–66L +26.5O 59.5
11/29/25vs ECUL 3–42L +6.5U 66.5
11/22/25vs CONNL 45–48W +5.5O 64.5
11/15/25@ TULNL 24–35W +17.5U 61.5
11/8/25vs TLSAW 40–21W -4.5O 60.5
10/25/25@ NAVYL 32–42W +14.5O 63.5
10/18/25@ USFL 13–48L +20.5U 72.5
10/11/25vs UABW 53–33W -5.5O 65.5
10/4/25@ RICEW 27–21W +4.5U 55.5
9/27/25vs MEML 26–55L +13.5O 62.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Navy and Florida Atlantic
Statistic
429.7 (386.6)Total Yards422.1 (438.6)
125.4 (114.1)Passing Yards330.5 (338.3)
7.9 (7.3)Pass Completions32.7 (32.2)
13.4 (12.7)Pass Attempts49.2 (48.0)
304.3 (272.5)Rushing Yards91.6 (100.4)
50.6 (46.6)Rushing Attempts29.4 (29.7)
22.1 (20.8)First Downs23.8 (24.0)



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