CFB matchup
09/12/202611:59 PMClarence T.C. Ching Athletics ComplexHonolulu, HI

New Mexico State1 – 2vsHawai'i1 – 2

Sharp side
🏠 Hawai'i -7.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 50.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
New Mexico State Aggies20.218.6%
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors32.781.4%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
New Mexico State AggiesD+C-C-
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsCCC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+270+7.5 (-108)
HAW-340-7.5 (-112)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+250+7.5 (-118)
HAW-300-7.5 (-102)
Total 50.5Over -108Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+220+7.0 (-108)
HAW-295-7.0 (-115)
Total 49.5Over -114Under -109
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+245+7.0 (-105)
HAW-310-7.0 (-115)
Total 50.5Over -105Under -114
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+260+7.0 (-105)
HAW-310-7.0 (-115)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+230+7.5 (-122)
HAW-285-7.5 (+100)
Total 49.5Over -114Under -106
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+250+7.5 (-110)
HAW-325-7.5 (-110)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+230+7.5 (-120)
HAW-280-7.5 (+100)
Total 49.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 10 games

New Mexico State Aggies

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs MERCW 51–14W -29.5O 52.5
8/29/26@ FSUL 17–34W +30.5U 53.5
11/29/25vs MTSUL 24–31L -3.5O 51.5
11/22/25@ UTEPW 34–31W +4.5O 45.5
11/15/25@ TENNL 9–42W +41.5U 60.5
11/8/25vs KENNL 21–24W +11.5U 52.5
11/1/25@ WKUL 16–35L +7.5U 54.5
10/22/25vs MOSTL 17–24L +2.5U 51.5
10/14/25@ LIBL 27–30W +11.5O 48.5
10/2/25vs SHSUW 37–10W +1.5U 53.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs UNLVL 6–21L +2.5U 55.5
8/29/26@ STANL 27–37L +4.5O 48.5
12/24/25vs CALW 35–31W -1.5O 50.5
11/29/25vs WYOW 27–7W -8.5U 44.5
11/21/25@ UNLVL 10–38L +2.5U 64.5
11/8/25vs SDSUW 38–6W +6.5U 47.5
11/1/25@ SJSUL 38–45L +2.5O 55.5
10/18/25@ CSUW 31–19W +2.5U 53.5
10/11/25vs USUW 44–26W +1.5O 57.5
9/27/25@ AFW 44–35W +6.5O 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for New Mexico State and Hawai'i
Statistic
326.0 (332.5)Total Yards422.4 (393.5)
254.1 (254.6)Passing Yards319.1 (291.9)
23.7 (23.6)Pass Completions28.3 (26.5)
40.4 (39.9)Pass Attempts43.4 (42.1)
71.9 (77.9)Rushing Yards103.3 (101.6)
28.7 (29.3)Rushing Attempts28.4 (28.4)
20.2 (20.5)First Downs20.9 (19.9)



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