MLB matchup

09/13/20261:35 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC85°F · Showers

Angels60 – 95vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

✈️ Angels +114

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 9.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Angels	4.6	46.5%
Washington Nationals	4.9	53.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-
Washington Nationals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+114+1.5 (-179)

WSH-138-1.5 (+148)

Total 9.5Over -101Under -119

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+115+1.5 (-175)

WSH-135-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+112+1.5 (-180)

WSH-134-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.5Over +104Under -127

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+118+1.5 (-178)

WSH-140-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+122+1.5 (-170)

WSH-132-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+115+1.5 (-180)

WSH-140-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+116+1.5 (-182)

WSH-134-1.5 (+150)

Total 9.5Over +106Under -130

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+110+1.5 (-185)

WSH-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAA+115+1.5 (-175)

WSH-135-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Angels

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	@ WSH	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	@ WSH	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ BOS	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9
9/8/26	@ BOS	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs NYY	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/1/26	vs NYY	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	vs LAA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs LAA	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ SD	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ SD	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ SD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ LAD	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ LAD	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/4/26	@ LAD	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
9/2/26	vs ATL	L 0–9	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/1/26	vs ATL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 10

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Angels and Nationals
	Statistic
8.2 (7.6)	Hits	8.3 (8.3)
1.6 (1.5)	Doubles	1.7 (1.7)
1.1 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
13.4 (12.3)	Total Bases	14.3 (14.3)
3.1 (3.0)	Walks	3.3 (3.3)
9.5 (9.7)	Strikeouts	8.6 (8.6)
0.6 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.1 (1.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AngelsGrayson RodriguezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-12956.3%Under+10149.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%

NationalsRiley CornelioConfirmed

Starting lineups

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+77011.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52684.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57814.7%Under-96090.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
2Mike TroutDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+70012.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14258.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
3Wade MecklerLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWade Meckler+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45917.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36878.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13757.8%Under-10150.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
4Vaughn Grissom1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+15206.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
5Moises BallesterosC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMoises Ballesteros+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29574.7%
6Denzer Guzman3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzer Guzman+18205.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-196095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
7Josh LoweRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Lowe+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59114.5%Under-99090.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
8Jose SiriCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Siri+11008.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52316.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
9Christian Moore2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35578.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1James WoodRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJames Wood+69012.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49783.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-25171.5%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49916.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11446.7%
2Abimelec OrtizDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAbimelec Ortiz+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
3Andres Chaparro3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Chaparro+9209.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19165.6%Under+14341.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
4CJ AbramsSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34922.3%Under-52984.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
5Yohandy Morales1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterYohandy Morales+14206.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%
6Daylen LileLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+14606.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59085.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-174094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%
7Keibert RuizC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKeibert Ruiz+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45281.9%
8Jose Tena2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Tena+19604.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
9Jacob YoungCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+33002.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54515.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52316.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38479.3%

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