MLB matchup

09/13/20261:37 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Orioles75 – 80vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side

🏠 Blue Jays -154

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Baltimore Orioles	3.3	41.3%
Toronto Blue Jays	4.1	58.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Baltimore Orioles	B	B-	B
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	A-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+127+1.5 (-175)

TOR-154-1.5 (+144)

Total 7.0Over -120Under -101

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+125+1.5 (-180)

TOR-155-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+123+1.5 (-182)

TOR-148-1.5 (+148)

Total 7.5Over -103Under -121

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+130+1.5 (-178)

TOR-155-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+138+1.5 (-180)

TOR-148-1.5 (+155)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+125+1.5 (-180)

TOR-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+126+1.5 (-178)

TOR-148-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.5Over +104Under -128

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+125+1.5 (-180)

TOR-150-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL+130+1.5 (-180)

TOR-150-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

Baltimore Orioles

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	@ TOR	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 8
9/11/26	@ TOR	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/9/26	vs CLE	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs CLE	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs CLE	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs BOS	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs BOS	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs BOS	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 8
9/3/26	vs BOS	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/2/26	@ COL	L 5–6	L -1.5	U 11.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	vs BAL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs BAL	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ ATH	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ ATH	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ KC	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/5/26	@ KC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/4/26	@ KC	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 10
9/3/26	@ CLE	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ CLE	W 11–0	W -1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Orioles and Blue Jays
	Statistic
6.8 (7.7)	Hits	8.5 (8.5)
1.3 (1.4)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.0 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.0)
11.1 (12.9)	Total Bases	13.2 (13.4)
3.5 (3.7)	Walks	2.8 (2.8)
9.5 (9.4)	Strikeouts	7.2 (7.2)
0.6 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

OriolesTrevor RogersConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11854.1%Under-10851.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%

Blue JaysDylan CeaseConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%

Total Strikeouts8.5Over+11646.3%Under-14859.7%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%

Starting lineups

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Dylan BeaversLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Beavers+9809.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39279.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
2Pete Alonso1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Alonso+74011.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
3Gunnar HendersonSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGunnar Henderson+11408.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
4Coby MayoDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCoby Mayo+89010.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56914.9%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
5Samuel BasalloC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSamuel Basallo+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56115.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
6Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Encarnacion-Strand+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32623.5%Under-49083.1%
7Jackson Holliday2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Holliday+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55615.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34622.4%Under-52484.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
8Leody TaverasRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLeody Taveras+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48917.0%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48783.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-142093.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
9Colton CowserCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterColton Cowser+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+70012.5%Under-122092.4%
Total Hits0.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36321.6%Under-55384.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Bateman+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43581.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+88010.2%Under-166094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
2George SpringerDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-23470.1%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28173.8%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+9309.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27273.1%
4Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+80011.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
5Charles McAdooLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCharles McAdoo+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36878.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10408.8%Under-210095.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
6Ernie Clement2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterErnie Clement+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22569.2%Under+16737.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10249.5%
7Andres GimenezSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Gimenez+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57714.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43381.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
8Brandon ValenzuelaC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Valenzuela+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50116.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
9Myles StrawCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMyles Straw+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31923.9%Under-47782.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-174094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46682.3%

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