MLB matchup

09/13/20261:40 PMloanDepot parkMiami, FL

Dodgers95 – 60vsMarlins76 – 79

Sharp side

✈️ Dodgers -137

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.6	63.2%
Miami Marlins	3.3	36.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Los Angeles Dodgers	A+	A-	A+
Miami Marlins	C	B-	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-137-1.5 (+122)

MIA+114+1.5 (-147)

Total 8.5Over -103Under -117

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-135-1.5 (+125)

MIA+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-137-1.5 (+123)

MIA+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 7.5Over -129Under +106

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-135-1.5 (+122)

MIA+115+1.5 (-145)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-125-1.5 (+130)

MIA+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 8.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-140-1.5 (+120)

MIA+115+1.5 (-145)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-138-1.5 (+126)

MIA+118+1.5 (-152)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-140-1.5 (+120)

MIA+120+1.5 (-140)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

LAD-135-1.5 (+125)

MIA+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Dodgers

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	@ MIA	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8
9/11/26	@ MIA	W 6–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/9/26	vs CIN	W 14–1	W -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	vs CIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/7/26	vs CIN	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs WSH	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs WSH	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7
9/4/26	vs WSH	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
9/3/26	vs STL	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/2/26	vs STL	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Marlins

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	vs LAD	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/11/26	vs LAD	L 2–6	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/9/26	vs NYM	L 14–15	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs NYM	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs NYM	L 4–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	vs CHC	W 10–3	W +1.5	O 8
9/5/26	vs CHC	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/4/26	vs CHC	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8
9/3/26	@ KC	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 9
9/2/26	@ KC	W 9–6	W +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Dodgers and Marlins
	Statistic
8.3 (8.6)	Hits	7.3 (8.3)
1.5 (1.6)	Doubles	1.3 (1.6)
1.2 (1.3)	Home Runs	0.8 (1.0)
13.7 (14.4)	Total Bases	11.4 (13.4)
3.7 (3.8)	Walks	3.1 (3.4)
8.1 (8.1)	Strikeouts	8.3 (8.1)
0.4 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

DodgersEmmet SheehanConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12245.0%Under-15660.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%

MarlinsEury PerezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+10748.3%Under-13657.6%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%

Starting lineups

Los Angeles DodgersConfirmed

1Mookie BettsSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMookie Betts+12607.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16261.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-24270.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49316.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
2Freddie Freeman1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterFreddie Freeman+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23670.2%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
3Max MuncyDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Muncy+72012.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
4Will SmithC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWill Smith+11807.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20767.4%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
5Kyle TuckerRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Tucker+11607.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38320.7%Under-58885.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
6Josue De PaulaLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosue De Paula+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56415.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
7Alex CallCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Call+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
8Miguel Rojas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Rojas+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
9Alex Freeland3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Freeland+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-114091.9%
Total Hits0.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45882.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-182094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

1Kyle StowersDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Stowers+67013.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
2Heriberto HernandezLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHeriberto Hernandez+9509.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-142093.4%
3Otto LopezSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterOtto Lopez+16005.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32623.5%Under-48983.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59085.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
4Griffin Conine1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGriffin Conine+9709.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48617.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
5Xavier Edwards2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterXavier Edwards+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39420.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
6Jakob MarseeCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJakob Marsee+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
7Javier Sanoja3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJavier Sanoja+24004.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
8Joe MackC
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterJoe Mack+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30975.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20066.7%
9Esteury RuizRF
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterEsteury Ruiz+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58814.5%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33722.9%Under-50883.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32576.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%

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