MLB matchup

09/13/20262:10 PMTarget FieldMinneapolis, MN68°F · Mostly cloudy

Guardians80 – 75vsTwins72 – 83

Sharp side

🏠 Twins -126

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cleveland Guardians	3.5	45.6%
Minnesota Twins	4.0	54.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Cleveland Guardians	D+	B	C+
Minnesota Twins	C	B+	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+104+1.5 (-199)

MIN-126-1.5 (+163)

Total 8.0Over -103Under -117

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+100+1.5 (-190)

MIN-120-1.5 (+155)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+108+1.5 (-200)

MIN-129-1.5 (+160)

Total 7.5Over -121Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+110+1.5 (-190)

MIN-130-1.5 (+158)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+110+1.5 (-200)

MIN-120-1.5 (+175)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+105+1.5 (-200)

MIN-125-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.0Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+106-1.5 (+176)

MIN-124+1.5 (-215)

Total 7.5Over -120Under -102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+105+1.5 (-200)

MIN-125-1.5 (+165)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE+110+1.5 (-200)

MIN-130-1.5 (+165)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cleveland Guardians

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	@ MIN	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	@ MIN	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ BAL	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ BAL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ BAL	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs DET	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs DET	L 0–6	L -1.5	U 7
9/4/26	vs DET	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	vs DET	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/3/26	vs TOR	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Twins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	vs CLE	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	vs CLE	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ DET	L 2–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ DET	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	@ DET	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CHW	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CHW	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ CHW	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs DET	L 6–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	vs DET	W 15–2	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Guardians and Twins
	Statistic
7.3 (7.8)	Hits	7.8 (8.1)
1.4 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.6)
0.8 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.2)
11.4 (12.4)	Total Bases	12.7 (13.5)
3.4 (3.5)	Walks	3.0 (3.1)
8.1 (8.1)	Strikeouts	8.2 (8.1)
0.8 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

GuardiansTanner BibeeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12245.0%Under-15660.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%

TwinsJoe RyanConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12644.2%Under-16161.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%

Starting lineups

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35422.0%Under-53884.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25772.0%Under+18934.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
2Chase DeLauterRF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50283.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+88010.2%Under-166094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
3Travis Bazzana2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55984.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59914.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
4Jo AdellDH
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36421.6%Under-55584.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-186094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
5Nathaniel Lowe1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36821.4%Under-56284.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30975.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
6Angel MartinezLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-128092.8%
7Angel Genao3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12054.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
8Patrick BaileyC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44081.5%

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44281.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23470.1%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
2Brooks Lee3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46682.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
3Kody Clemens2B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
4Ryan JeffersC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36821.4%Under-56384.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24270.8%
5Trevor LarnachDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
6Royce Lewis1B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53584.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28974.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-138093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
7Emmanuel RodriguezLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36678.5%
8Walker JenkinsCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40180.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11807.8%Under-250096.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
9Ryan KreidlerSS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54115.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31823.9%Under-47682.6%

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