MLB matchup

09/13/20264:10 PMChase FieldPhoenix, AZ

Rangers78 – 77vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side

🏠 Diamondbacks -131

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Texas Rangers	4.3	41.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks	5.1	58.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Texas Rangers	C	C-	C
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	C+	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+109+1.5 (-188)

ARI-131-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+110+1.5 (-190)

ARI-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.0Over -118Under -102

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+110+1.5 (-190)

ARI-132-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -112

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+110+1.5 (-190)

ARI-130-1.5 (+158)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+115+1.5 (-185)

ARI-125-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+110+1.5 (-190)

ARI-130-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+112+1.5 (-205)

ARI-132-1.5 (+168)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -118

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+115+1.5 (-185)

ARI-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+110+1.5 (-190)

ARI-130-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Texas Rangers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	@ ARI	W 6–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	@ ARI	L 1–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/10/26	@ SEA	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/9/26	@ SEA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/8/26	@ SEA	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs TB	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/5/26	vs TB	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 7
9/4/26	vs TB	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/3/26	vs TB	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 8
9/2/26	vs ATH	L 2–9	L -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/12/26	vs TEX	L 2–6	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	vs TEX	W 9–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ KC	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	@ KC	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ KC	W 5–4	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/6/26	@ HOU	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/5/26	@ HOU	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
9/4/26	@ HOU	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 9
9/2/26	vs PHI	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/1/26	vs PHI	L 1–7	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rangers and Diamondbacks
	Statistic
8.2 (8.0)	Hits	8.8 (8.1)
1.5 (1.4)	Doubles	1.9 (1.7)
1.2 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
13.4 (13.1)	Total Bases	14.6 (13.2)
3.2 (3.2)	Walks	3.5 (3.4)
8.5 (8.5)	Strikeouts	7.3 (7.4)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.7 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RangersCal QuantrillConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-11854.1%Under-10851.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%

DiamondbacksEduardo RodriguezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-14659.3%Under+11446.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%

Starting lineups

Texas RangersConfirmed

1Justin Foscue2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38979.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46382.2%
2Corey SeagerSS
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
3Josh Jung3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21631.6%Under-30975.6%
4Jake Burger1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37421.1%Under-57285.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
5Brandon NimmoRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37178.8%
6Wyatt LangfordLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39520.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-142093.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
7Ezequiel DuranCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+88010.2%Under-166094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
8Elias DiazC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20333.0%Under-28974.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
9Danny JansenDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%

Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed

1Lars NootbaarLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
2Ketel Marte2B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50183.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
3Gabriel MorenoDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32623.5%Under-48983.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23670.2%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%
4Geraldo PerdomoSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
5Corbin CarrollRF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52684.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48682.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
6Nolan Arenado3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
7Tim Tawa1B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
8James McCannC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50483.4%
9Jordan LawlarCF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46117.8%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44881.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48382.8%

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