MLB matchup
09/14/20267:07 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Tigers70 – 79vsBlue Jays75 – 75

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Detroit TigersBBB
Toronto Blue JaysC+CC+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
DET+115+1.5 (-187)
TOR-138-1.5 (+154)
Total 7.5Over -112Under -108
Recent form

Last 3 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall3–0–0W–L–TRun line3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–0–2O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/13/26vs COLW 8–1W -1.5P 9
9/12/26vs COLW 11–7W -1.5O 8.5
9/11/26vs COLW 6–2W -1.5P 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun line2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/13/26vs BALW 8–1W -1.5O 7
9/12/26vs BALW 7–3W -1.5O 8
9/11/26vs BALL 4–7L -1.5O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and Blue Jays
Statistic
8.0 (7.9)Hits8.2 (8.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersTroy MeltonProbable
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Blue JaysJose SorianoProbable
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%

Expected Starters

Detroit TigersProjected
  1. 1Kevin McGonigleDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
  2. 2Gleyber TorresDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
  3. 3Colt Keith3B
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
  4. 4Riley GreeneLF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
  5. 5Dillon DinglerC
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
  6. 6Max ClarkCF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
  7. 7Zach McKinstryRF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
  8. 8Brett CallahanRF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
  9. 9John PeckSS
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59714.3%Under-100090.9%
Toronto Blue JaysProjected
  1. 1Brett BatemanRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
  2. 2George SpringerDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
  3. 3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
  4. 4Kazuma Okamoto3B
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
  5. 5Alejandro KirkC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20667.3%
  6. 6Nathan LukesRF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
  7. 7Ernie Clement2B
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49616.8%Under-80088.9%
  8. 8Andres GimenezSS
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45917.9%Under-73088.0%
  9. 9Josh Smith2B
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52216.1%Under-85089.5%

Player availability

Injury report

Detroit Tigers
  • RPBailey HornElbow60-Day-IL
    Horn (elbow) will undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
    Updated: Jul 17, 2026 at 8:07 PM EDT
  • RPBurch SmithShoulder60-Day-IL
    Smith is being evaluated after exiting a rehab appearance with Triple-A Toledo on Thursday with right shoulder/lat discomfort, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Jul 24, 2026 at 4:30 PM EDT
  • SPJack FlahertyForearm15-Day-IL
    Flaherty (forearm) is slated to throw a 2-to-3-inning simulated game Saturday, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 11, 2026 at 3:53 PM EDT
Toronto Blue Jays
  • RFAddison BargerElbow60-Day-IL
    Barger is expected to be sidelined six months following surgery Monday to repair his right elbow UCL, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
    Updated: Jul 27, 2026 at 4:51 PM EDT
  • RFAnthony SantanderShoulder60-Day-IL
    Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Friday that Santander (shoulder) will remain on his rehab assignment at Triple-A Buffalo through the middle of next week, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
    Updated: Sep 11, 2026 at 4:36 PM EDT
  • SPBowden FrancisElbow60-Day-IL
    The Blue Jays placed Francis (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
    Updated: May 8, 2026 at 7:02 AM EDT

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