Marlins74 – 76vsDiamondbacks79 – 71

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Model value

Sharp total

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Miami Marlins	C+	C+	C+
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	A-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA+113+1.5 (-193)

ARI-137-1.5 (+158)

Total 8.0Over -108Under -112

Recent form

Last 3 games

Miami Marlins

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/13/26	vs LAD	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/12/26	vs LAD	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/11/26	vs LAD	L 2–6	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun line1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/13/26	vs TEX	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/12/26	vs TEX	L 2–6	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	vs TEX	W 9–1	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Marlins and Diamondbacks
	Statistic
7.5 (8.3)	Hits	8.4 (8.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarlinsSandy AlcantaraProbable

Player props1 of 2 markets

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%

DiamondbacksCorbin BurnesProbable

Player props1 of 2 markets

Total Outs Recorded13.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%

Player availability

Injury report

Miami Marlins

SPAdam MazurElbow60-Day-IL
Mazur (elbow) is expected to begin a throwing program sometime in September, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
Updated: Aug 7, 2026 at 5:16 PM EDT
RPAndrew NardiElbow60-Day-IL
Nardi (elbow) is slated to undergo season-ending surgery Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
Updated: Aug 24, 2026 at 4:46 PM EDT
RPAnthony BenderLower Leg15-Day-IL
Bender (lower leg) has ceased baseball activities and will get another opinion on the lingering soreness in his shin, MLB.com reports.
Updated: Sep 10, 2026 at 11:44 AM EDT

Arizona Diamondbacks

RPA.J. PukElbow60-Day-IL
Manager Torey Lovullo said Friday that Puk (elbow/shoulder) will remain shut down for the remainder of the season, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.
Updated: Aug 7, 2026 at 6:46 PM EDT
RPAndrew SaalfrankShoulder60-Day-IL
Saalfrank (shoulder) has begun a throwing program, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
Updated: Jul 18, 2026 at 8:24 AM EDT
RPCristian MenaShoulder60-Day-IL
Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters Monday that Mena underwent surgery on his right shoulder and will be sidelined for the rest of the season, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
Updated: Jun 1, 2026 at 6:44 PM EDT

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