MLB matchup

09/15/20266:40 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, OH83°F · Mostly sunny

White Sox79 – 76vsGuardians80 – 75

Sharp side

✈️ White Sox +130

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago White Sox	4.2	46.4%
Cleveland Guardians	4.6	53.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago White Sox	C	C	C
Cleveland Guardians	D+	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+130+1.5 (-162)

CLE-157-1.5 (+134)

Total 9.0Over -103Under -117

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+135+1.5 (-160)

CLE-160-1.5 (+135)

Total 9.0Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+130+1.5 (-159)

CLE-157-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over -121Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+135+1.5 (-155)

CLE-160-1.5 (+130)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+145+1.5 (-155)

CLE-156-1.5 (+135)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+130+1.5 (-165)

CLE-155-1.5 (+135)

Total 9.0Over +105Under -125

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+128+1.5 (-170)

CLE-152-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -122Under +100

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+130+1.5 (-170)

CLE-150-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+135+1.5 (-165)

CLE-155-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago White Sox

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	@ CLE	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7
9/13/26	@ STL	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/12/26	@ STL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	@ STL	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/10/26	vs PIT	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/4/26	vs MIN	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	vs CHW	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 7
9/13/26	@ MIN	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 8
9/12/26	@ MIN	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	@ MIN	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ BAL	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ BAL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ BAL	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs DET	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs DET	L 0–6	L -1.5	U 7
9/4/26	vs DET	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for White Sox and Guardians
	Statistic
7.5 (7.8)	Hits	8.2 (7.9)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.7 (1.6)
1.2 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
12.7 (13.4)	Total Bases	13.3 (12.5)
3.5 (3.6)	Walks	3.6 (3.5)
9.2 (9.2)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.1)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

White SoxChris MurphyConfirmed

GuardiansFoster GriffinConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12444.6%Under-15861.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%

Starting lineups

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Chase Meidroth2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+18605.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54484.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
2Randal GrichukDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRandal Grichuk+74011.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54684.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
3Miguel Vargas3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Vargas+82010.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46982.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24370.8%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
4Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMunetaka Murakami+82010.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
5Brenton DoyleCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrenton Doyle+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33677.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-130092.9%
6Sam AntonacciLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSam Antonacci+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
7Jake RogersC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Rogers+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
8Luisangel AcunaSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLuisangel Acuna+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55715.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46482.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57914.7%Under-96090.6%
9Tristan PetersRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTristan Peters+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+12207.6%Under-260096.3%

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSteven Kwan+28003.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36421.6%Under-55684.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-26072.2%Under+19134.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16161.7%Under+11646.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56715.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
2Jose Ramirez3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Ramirez+90010.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32023.8%Under-48082.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+19334.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+26027.8%Under-38079.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
3Jo AdellRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJo Adell+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50483.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-25471.8%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
4Travis BazzanaDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTravis Bazzana+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59714.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
5Nathaniel Lowe1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathaniel Lowe+11408.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
6Angel Genao2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAngel Genao+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30975.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
7Patrick BaileyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPatrick Bailey+12407.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
8Petey HalpinCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPetey Halpin+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrayan Rocchio+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46217.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%

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