MLB matchup

09/15/20266:40 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, FL

Athletics61 – 94vsRays94 – 60

Sharp side

🏠 Rays -233

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Athletics	3.3	33.7%
Tampa Bay Rays	4.9	66.3%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Athletics	C-	D+	C-
Tampa Bay Rays	B	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+189+1.5 (-115)

TB-233-1.5 (-105)

Total 8.0Over -114Under -106

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+190+1.5 (-115)

TB-235-1.5 (-105)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+195+1.5 (-108)

TB-240-1.5 (-113)

Total 8.5Over +106Under -129

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+190+1.5 (-113)

TB-235-1.5 (-107)

Total 8.0Over -111Under -108

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+196+1.5 (-115)

TB-213-1.5 (-105)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+190+1.5 (-115)

TB-235-1.5 (-105)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+190+1.5 (-118)

TB-230-1.5 (-102)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -125

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+195+1.5 (-115)

TB-230-1.5 (-105)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+190+1.5 (-115)

TB-225-1.5 (-105)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

Athletics

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/13/26	vs SEA	W 8–7	W +1.5	O 9
9/12/26	vs SEA	L 1–19	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/11/26	vs SEA	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 10.5
9/9/26	vs TOR	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs TOR	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/7/26	vs TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ SEA	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ SEA	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	@ SEA	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 7
9/3/26	@ SEA	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/13/26	vs HOU	W 14–4	W -1.5	O 8
9/12/26	vs HOU	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/11/26	vs HOU	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/10/26	@ ATL	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ ATL	W 7–2	W +1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ ATL	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ TEX	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/5/26	@ TEX	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 7
9/4/26	@ TEX	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/3/26	@ TEX	L 0–6	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Athletics and Rays
	Statistic
7.4 (8.3)	Hits	9.0 (8.7)
1.4 (1.5)	Doubles	1.4 (1.4)
0.9 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
11.7 (13.5)	Total Bases	14.2 (13.5)
3.0 (3.2)	Walks	3.3 (3.2)
8.7 (8.6)	Strikeouts	7.1 (7.1)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AthleticsJack PerkinsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-16061.5%Under+12544.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%

RaysGriffin JaxConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12145.2%Under-15560.8%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16937.2%

Starting lineups

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31923.9%Under-47882.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34522.5%Under-52183.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
2Jeff McNeil1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+14406.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40719.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
3Shea LangeliersDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterShea Langeliers+66013.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40480.2%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+11408.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46117.8%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26572.6%
5Zack Gelof3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36378.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49316.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
6Donovan Walton2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDonovan Walton+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32623.5%Under-48983.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
7Carlos CortesLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Cortes+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
8Jonah HeimC
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterJonah Heim+17805.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44481.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
9Alika WilliamsSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAlika Williams+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+37221.2%Under-56985.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36678.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed

1Yandy DiazDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterYandy Diaz+11008.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46582.3%
Total Hits1.5Over+16937.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16261.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
2Jonathan Aranda1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJonathan Aranda+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46582.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
3Junior Caminero3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJunior Caminero+58914.5%
Total Bases1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32423.6%Under-48682.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+16837.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10149.8%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20967.6%
4Liam HicksC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLiam Hicks+16405.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59185.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15660.9%
5Victor Mesa Jr.RF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterVictor Mesa Jr.+11008.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48282.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
6Chandler SimpsonLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterChandler Simpson+68001.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+18934.6%Under-25772.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46082.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
7Richie Palacios2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRichie Palacios+19205.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46217.8%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
8Jorge MateoSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJorge Mateo+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44018.5%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
9Cedric MullinsCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCedric Mullins+15206.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%

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