MLB matchup

09/15/20267:07 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Tigers73 – 82vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side

✈️ Tigers +123

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Detroit Tigers	3.8	48.9%
Toronto Blue Jays	3.9	51.1%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+123+1.5 (-172)

TOR-149-1.5 (+142)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+125+1.5 (-170)

TOR-150-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+125+1.5 (-175)

TOR-150-1.5 (+138)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -115

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+122+1.5 (-165)

TOR-145-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+130+1.5 (-165)

TOR-140-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+120+1.5 (-180)

TOR-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+124+1.5 (-170)

TOR-146-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -120

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+120+1.5 (-175)

TOR-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+120+1.5 (-175)

TOR-140-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–4–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	@ TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs COL	W 8–1	W -1.5	P 9
9/12/26	vs COL	W 11–7	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs COL	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
9/9/26	vs MIN	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs MIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	vs MIN	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	vs DET	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs BAL	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7
9/12/26	vs BAL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs BAL	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ ATH	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ ATH	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ KC	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/5/26	@ KC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/4/26	@ KC	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 10

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and Blue Jays
	Statistic
7.6 (8.0)	Hits	8.2 (8.5)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.0 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.0)
12.3 (13.2)	Total Bases	12.9 (13.4)
3.4 (3.5)	Walks	2.8 (2.9)
9.0 (9.0)	Strikeouts	7.2 (7.2)
0.3 (0.3)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersDrew AndersonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-14559.2%Under+11446.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%

Blue JaysBraydon FisherConfirmed

Starting lineups

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigleDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+82010.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38120.8%Under-58685.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-22068.8%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59414.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
2Gleyber Torres2B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
3Hao-Yu Lee3B
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterHao-Yu Lee+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
4Riley GreeneLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRiley Greene+77011.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37820.9%Under-57985.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
5Eduardo ValenciaC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46417.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32276.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
6Max ClarkCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-36078.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
7Spencer Torkelson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Torkelson+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%
8Zach McKinstryRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZach McKinstry+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49616.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38979.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28373.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-138093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29774.8%
9John PeckSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Peck+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33822.8%Under-51083.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43981.4%

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Bateman+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26027.8%Under-38079.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
2George SpringerDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56384.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-24070.6%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-24671.1%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
4Alejandro KirkC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlejandro Kirk+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37820.9%Under-57985.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-22569.2%Under+16737.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
5Nathan LukesRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Lukes+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
6Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+84010.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
7Andres GimenezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Gimenez+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11954.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45118.1%Under-71087.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
8Josh SmithLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Smith+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54515.5%Under-90090.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-194095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
9Ernie Clement2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterErnie Clement+26003.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+15738.9%Under-21167.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32176.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10851.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42981.1%

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