MLB matchup

09/15/20267:40 PMTarget FieldMinneapolis, MN69°F · Intermittent clouds

Yankees89 – 65vsTwins72 – 82

Sharp side

🏠 Twins +142

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
New York Yankees	4.3	61.2%
Minnesota Twins	3.1	38.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
New York Yankees	B	A	A-
Minnesota Twins	C	B-	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-172-1.5 (+100)

MIN+142+1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -109Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-175-1.5 (+100)

MIN+145+1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-167-1.5 (+105)

MIN+140+1.5 (-127)

Total 7.5Over -104Under -118

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-170-1.5 (-105)

MIN+143+1.5 (-115)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-168-1.5 (+100)

MIN+156+1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-175-1.5 (+100)

MIN+145+1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-168-1.5 (+100)

MIN+142+1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -108Under -112

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-175-1.5 (-105)

MIN+145+1.5 (-115)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-170-1.5 (-105)

MIN+145+1.5 (-115)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Yankees

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	@ MIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/13/26	vs NYM	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 8
9/12/26	vs NYM	L 2–12	L -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs NYM	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8
9/10/26	vs COL	W 10–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	vs COL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs COL	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ SD	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/5/26	@ SD	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ SD	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Twins

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	vs NYY	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/13/26	vs CLE	L 2–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/12/26	vs CLE	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	vs CLE	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ DET	L 2–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ DET	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	@ DET	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CHW	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ CHW	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/4/26	@ CHW	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Yankees and Twins
	Statistic
7.5 (7.8)	Hits	7.1 (8.1)
1.4 (1.4)	Doubles	1.4 (1.6)
1.3 (1.4)	Home Runs	0.9 (1.2)
13.0 (13.6)	Total Bases	11.5 (13.5)
3.5 (3.6)	Walks	2.7 (3.1)
9.3 (9.2)	Strikeouts	8.4 (8.1)
0.9 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

YankeesMax FriedConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-15660.9%Under+12245.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%

TwinsBailey OberConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-16562.3%Under+12943.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%

Starting lineups

New York YankeesConfirmed

1Ben RiceDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Rice+57214.9%
Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45381.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
2Cody BellingerLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Bellinger+9409.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41580.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-24871.3%Under+18335.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
3Heliot RamosRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHeliot Ramos+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59185.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
4Luis Garcia Jr.1B
5Spencer JonesCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Jones+79011.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56484.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
6George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Lombard Jr.+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-174094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
7Anthony Volpe2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAnthony Volpe+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
8Ali SanchezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAli Sanchez+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56415.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42080.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31624.0%Under-47382.5%
9Jose Caballero3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Caballero+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40580.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%

Minnesota TwinsConfirmed

1Luke KeaschallRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuke Keaschall+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44481.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
2Kaelen CulpepperSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKaelen Culpepper+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
3Josh BellDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Bell+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
4Kody Clemens2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKody Clemens+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31275.7%
5Royce Lewis1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRoyce Lewis+12607.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
6Brooks Lee3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrooks Lee+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48817.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42080.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29874.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49283.1%
7Victor CaratiniC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterVictor Caratini+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36121.7%Under-54984.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20932.4%Under-30075.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18965.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
8Emmanuel RodriguezCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEmmanuel Rodriguez+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51583.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
9Austin MartinLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Martin+33002.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57614.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%

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