MLB matchup

09/15/20267:40 PMWrigley FieldChicago, IL78°F · Thunderstorms

Braves91 – 64vsCubs86 – 69

Sharp side

🏠 Cubs -149

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Atlanta Braves	4.0	42.5%
Chicago Cubs	4.8	57.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Atlanta Braves	B+	B-	B
Chicago Cubs	A-	B+	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+123+1.5 (-172)

CHC-149-1.5 (+142)

Total 8.5Over -109Under -111

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+118+1.5 (-170)

CHC-145-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+120+1.5 (-180)

CHC-148-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -117

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+122+1.5 (-165)

CHC-145-1.5 (+140)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+128+1.5 (-165)

CHC-138-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+120+1.5 (-185)

CHC-145-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+118+1.5 (-182)

CHC-138-1.5 (+150)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+120+1.5 (-175)

CHC-140-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+120+1.5 (-175)

CHC-140-1.5 (+145)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Braves

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	@ CHC	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/13/26	vs PHI	L 4–9	L -1.5	O 9.5
9/12/26	vs PHI	W 12–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs PHI	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7
9/10/26	vs TB	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8
9/9/26	vs TB	L 2–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	vs TB	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	@ PHI	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/6/26	@ PHI	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/5/26	@ PHI	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago Cubs

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–3–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/14/26	vs ATL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/13/26	vs PIT	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/12/26	vs PIT	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/11/26	vs PIT	W 12–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ MIL	L 6–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/8/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	P 7
9/7/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/6/26	@ MIA	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/5/26	@ MIA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/4/26	@ MIA	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Braves and Cubs
	Statistic
7.9 (8.5)	Hits	8.2 (8.5)
1.4 (1.6)	Doubles	1.6 (1.7)
1.1 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.4)
12.9 (14.1)	Total Bases	14.0 (14.7)
2.8 (3.0)	Walks	4.0 (4.1)
8.1 (8.0)	Strikeouts	8.5 (8.4)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.7 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BravesMartin PerezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10651.5%Under-12655.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over+11746.1%Under-14959.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

CubsKevin GausmanConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-13557.4%Under+10548.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%

Starting lineups

Atlanta BravesConfirmed

1Drake BaldwinC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDrake Baldwin+9309.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
2Ronald Acuna Jr.DH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRonald Acuna Jr.+75011.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
3Matt Olson1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt Olson+73012.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40919.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
4Michael Harris IICF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Harris II+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38520.6%Under-59285.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49183.1%
5Mauricio DubonSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMauricio Dubon+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%
6Austin Riley3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Riley+9809.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49916.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
7Mike YastrzemskiLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Yastrzemski+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45882.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30675.4%
8Ozzie Albies2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterOzzie Albies+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-182094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45181.9%
9Brewer HicklenRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrewer Hicklen+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Hits0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33223.1%Under-49983.3%

Chicago CubsConfirmed

1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Crow-Armstrong+76011.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54684.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-27773.5%Under+20333.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
2Seiya SuzukiRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSeiya Suzuki+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20767.4%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11653.7%
3Alex Bregman3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Bregman+12207.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51383.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
4Tyrone TaylorLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTyrone Taylor+12407.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
5Nico HoernerSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterNico Hoerner+28003.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25972.1%Under+19134.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11546.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
6Michael Busch1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Busch+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
7Matt ShawDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt Shaw+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-142093.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
8Pedro Ramirez2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPedro Ramirez+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
9Miguel AmayaC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Amaya+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57514.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47182.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26672.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial