MLB matchup

09/16/20261:00 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, OH77°F · Intermittent clouds

White Sox79 – 76vsGuardians80 – 75

Sharp side

🏠 Guardians -157

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago White Sox	3.2	37.8%
Cleveland Guardians	4.4	62.2%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago White Sox	C	C	C
Cleveland Guardians	D+	A-	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHW+129+1.5 (-175)

CLE-157-1.5 (+144)

Total 7.0Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago White Sox

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 9
9/14/26	@ CLE	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7
9/13/26	@ STL	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/12/26	@ STL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	@ STL	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/10/26	vs PIT	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	vs MIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	vs CHW	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 9
9/14/26	vs CHW	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 7
9/13/26	@ MIN	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 8
9/12/26	@ MIN	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	@ MIN	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ BAL	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ BAL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ BAL	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs DET	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs DET	L 0–6	L -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for White Sox and Guardians
	Statistic
6.7 (7.8)	Hits	8.1 (7.9)
1.3 (1.5)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.0 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.0)
11.0 (13.4)	Total Bases	13.0 (12.5)
3.2 (3.6)	Walks	3.5 (3.5)
9.3 (9.2)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.0)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.9 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

White SoxAnthony KayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12943.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-10250.5%Under-12555.6%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%

GuardiansParker MessickConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-11954.3%Under-10751.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%

Starting lineups

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Chase Meidroth2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42781.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
2Randal GrichukLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44681.7%
3Miguel Vargas1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
4Tommy PhamDH
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16462.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-176094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
5Kyle TeelC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41780.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
6Brenton DoyleCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54115.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47382.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57914.7%Under-96090.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43681.3%
7Colson Montgomery3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-38979.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
8Luisangel AcunaSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51916.2%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58885.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36878.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57814.7%Under-96090.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
9Tristan PetersRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35022.2%Under-53184.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32676.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+13207.0%Under-290096.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40080.0%

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16737.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46582.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14759.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-194095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
2Jose Ramirez3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48182.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+19234.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
3Jo AdellRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49083.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23269.9%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
4Travis BazzanaDH
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
5David Fry1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54215.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38479.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
6Angel Genao2B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45018.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22469.1%Under+16637.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
7Austin HedgesC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32723.4%Under-49083.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
8Petey HalpinCF
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10408.8%Under-210095.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%

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