MLB matchup

09/16/20263:07 PMRogers CentreToronto, ON

Tigers73 – 82vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side

✈️ Tigers +109

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Detroit Tigers	3.9	49.0%
Toronto Blue Jays	4.0	51.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Detroit Tigers	B-	B	B-
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+109+1.5 (-197)

TOR-131-1.5 (+161)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+110+1.5 (-190)

TOR-135-1.5 (+155)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+104+1.5 (-205)

TOR-124-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -109Under -113

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+111+1.5 (-185)

TOR-130-1.5 (+156)

Total 8.5Over -103Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+115+1.5 (-187)

TOR-125-1.5 (+162)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+110+1.5 (-200)

TOR-130-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+112+1.5 (-196)

TOR-132-1.5 (+162)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -115

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+110+1.5 (-190)

TOR-130-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+109+1.5 (-200)

TOR-123-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–3–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	@ TOR	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8
9/14/26	@ TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs COL	W 8–1	W -1.5	P 9
9/12/26	vs COL	W 11–7	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs COL	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
9/9/26	vs MIN	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs MIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	vs MIN	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	vs DET	L 1–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/14/26	vs DET	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs BAL	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7
9/12/26	vs BAL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs BAL	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ ATH	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ ATH	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ KC	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/5/26	@ KC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and Blue Jays
	Statistic
7.6 (8.0)	Hits	8.3 (8.5)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.0 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.0)
12.5 (13.2)	Total Bases	13.0 (13.4)
3.4 (3.5)	Walks	2.9 (2.9)
9.0 (9.0)	Strikeouts	7.2 (7.1)
0.3 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersKeider MonteroConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-14559.2%Under+11446.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%

Blue JaysMax ScherzerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10449.0%Under-13256.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%

Starting lineups

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigle3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55884.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17436.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31175.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-166094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
2Hao-Yu Lee2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
3Colt KeithDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
4Riley GreeneLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
5Dillon DinglerC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29274.5%
6Max ClarkCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45218.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39279.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
7Spencer Torkelson1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27273.1%
8Brett CallahanRF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44018.5%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36678.5%
9John PeckSS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51316.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28426.0%Under-41880.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51983.8%

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46982.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+18834.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16362.0%Under+11746.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9309.7%Under-178094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
2Nathan LukesRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35578.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44081.5%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44318.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-26372.5%Under+19334.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27573.3%
4George SpringerDH
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23970.5%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
5Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
6Josh Smith2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35578.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
7Ernie ClementSS
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13757.8%Under-10150.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36321.6%Under-55384.7%
8Brandon ValenzuelaC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-38979.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
9Myles StrawLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44481.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+39820.1%Under-62086.1%

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