MLB matchup

09/16/20266:40 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, FL

Athletics61 – 94vsRays94 – 60

Sharp side

🏠 Rays -191

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Athletics	3.6	37.2%
Tampa Bay Rays	4.8	62.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Athletics	C-	D+	C-
Tampa Bay Rays	B	B-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+157+1.5 (-139)

TB-191-1.5 (+115)

Total 8.0Over -108Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+154+1.5 (-140)

TB-190-1.5 (+118)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+150+1.5 (-143)

TB-182-1.5 (+117)

Total 7.5Over -122Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+154+1.5 (-139)

TB-182-1.5 (+118)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+165+1.5 (-135)

TB-178-1.5 (+115)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+150+1.5 (-140)

TB-180-1.5 (+115)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+152+1.5 (-142)

TB-180-1.5 (+118)

Total 8.5Over +104Under -132

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+155+1.5 (-140)

TB-190-1.5 (+120)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+155+1.5 (-145)

TB-185-1.5 (+120)

Total 8.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Last 10 games

Athletics

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	@ TB	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8
9/13/26	vs SEA	W 8–7	W +1.5	O 9
9/12/26	vs SEA	L 1–19	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/11/26	vs SEA	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 10.5
9/9/26	vs TOR	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs TOR	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/7/26	vs TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ SEA	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ SEA	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/4/26	@ SEA	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	vs ATH	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8
9/13/26	vs HOU	W 14–4	W -1.5	O 8
9/12/26	vs HOU	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/11/26	vs HOU	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/10/26	@ ATL	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ ATL	W 7–2	W +1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ ATL	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ TEX	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/5/26	@ TEX	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 7
9/4/26	@ TEX	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Athletics and Rays
	Statistic
7.7 (8.3)	Hits	9.0 (8.7)
1.4 (1.5)	Doubles	1.4 (1.4)
1.0 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
12.2 (13.5)	Total Bases	14.2 (13.6)
3.1 (3.2)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
8.7 (8.6)	Strikeouts	7.0 (7.1)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AthleticsBrady BassoConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-12255.0%Under-10551.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+15738.9%Under-21267.9%

RaysNick MartinezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13657.6%Under+10748.3%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-24871.3%Under+18335.3%

Starting lineups

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20367.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45782.0%
2Jeff McNeil2B
Player props7 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56084.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-25471.8%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14859.7%Under+10748.3%
3Shea LangeliersDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38920.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31923.9%Under-47782.7%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33977.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
5Zack Gelof3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57585.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45782.0%
6Donovan WaltonSS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43381.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45381.9%
7Tommy White1B
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51016.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
8Carlos CortesLF
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56914.9%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19065.5%
9Brian ServenC
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59614.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50483.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed

1Yandy DiazDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43881.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-19165.6%Under+13742.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
2Ryan Vilade1B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10208.9%Under-210095.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
3Junior Caminero3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59785.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+18535.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20567.2%
4Jonny DeLucaCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-22969.6%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34777.6%
5Chandler SimpsonLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+19933.4%Under-27073.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-19766.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44881.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46082.1%
6Nick Madrigal2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15060.0%Under+10947.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46382.2%
7Victor Mesa Jr.RF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
8Jorge MateoSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56685.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44881.8%
9Nick FortesC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51283.7%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial