MLB matchup

09/16/20267:00 PMCiti FieldQueens, NY74°F · Intermittent clouds

Orioles75 – 80vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

✈️ Orioles -105

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Baltimore Orioles	4.3	51.0%
New York Mets	4.2	49.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Baltimore Orioles	B	B-	B
New York Mets	B	C	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-105-1.5 (+155)

NYM-115+1.5 (-189)

Total 9.0Over -113Under -106

Recent form

Last 10 games

Baltimore Orioles

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	@ NYM	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/14/26	@ NYM	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/13/26	@ TOR	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7
9/12/26	@ TOR	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 8
9/11/26	@ TOR	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/9/26	vs CLE	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs CLE	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs CLE	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs BOS	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs BOS	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Mets

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	vs BAL	L 5–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/14/26	vs BAL	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/13/26	@ NYY	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8
9/12/26	@ NYY	W 12–2	W +1.5	O 8
9/11/26	@ NYY	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ MIA	W 15–14	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ MIA	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ MIA	W 9–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/6/26	vs SF	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 8
9/5/26	vs SF	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Orioles and Mets
	Statistic
7.6 (7.7)	Hits	7.9 (8.1)
1.4 (1.4)	Doubles	1.3 (1.3)
1.2 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
12.8 (13.0)	Total Bases	13.2 (13.5)
3.7 (3.7)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
9.5 (9.5)	Strikeouts	8.5 (8.5)
0.6 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

OriolesChris BassittConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-15761.1%Under+12344.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%

MetsXzavion CurryConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%

Total Outs Recorded12.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over+12145.2%Under-15460.6%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+15938.6%Under-21468.2%

Starting lineups

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Dylan BeaversLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Beavers+89010.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54284.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10208.9%Under-200095.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
2Pete Alonso1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Alonso+56315.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16637.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
3Gunnar HendersonSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGunnar Henderson+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42981.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9909.2%Under-194095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
4Coby MayoDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCoby Mayo+79011.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
5Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Encarnacion-Strand+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32023.8%Under-48082.8%
6Samuel BasalloC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSamuel Basallo+9909.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37478.9%
7Jeremiah Jackson2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJeremiah Jackson+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43818.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
8Rece HindsRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRece Hinds+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43181.2%
9Colton CowserCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterColton Cowser+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-168094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%

New York MetsConfirmed

1Francisco LindorSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterFrancisco Lindor+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32623.5%Under-49083.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-26672.7%Under+19533.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
2Juan SotoLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJuan Soto+80011.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55884.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14859.7%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-14859.7%Under+10748.3%
3Bo Bichette3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBo Bichette+21004.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-24771.2%Under+18235.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10548.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47582.6%
4Carson BengeRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Benge+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59485.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-26772.8%Under+19633.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14659.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24270.8%
5Jared Young1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJared Young+16205.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37820.9%Under-57985.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
6Marcus Semien2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMarcus Semien+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45218.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30675.4%
7A.J. EwingCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterA.J. Ewing+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
8Brett BatyDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Baty+17205.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50716.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26372.5%
9Luis TorrensC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Torrens+33002.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59214.5%Under-99090.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24270.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%

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