MLB matchup

09/16/20267:40 PMWrigley FieldChicago, IL69°F · Showers

Braves91 – 64vsCubs86 – 69

Sharp side

🏠 Cubs -167

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Atlanta Braves	3.7	41.0%
Chicago Cubs	4.6	59.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Atlanta Braves	B+	B-	B
Chicago Cubs	A-	A-	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+137+1.5 (-164)

CHC-167-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.5Over -107Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+140+1.5 (-160)

CHC-170-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+130+1.5 (-159)

CHC-157-1.5 (+128)

Total 7.5Over -113Under -108

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+140+1.5 (-165)

CHC-165-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+147+1.5 (-160)

CHC-158-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+140+1.5 (-170)

CHC-170-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+136+1.5 (-162)

CHC-162-1.5 (+134)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+135+1.5 (-165)

CHC-160-1.5 (+140)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+135+1.5 (-160)

CHC-155-1.5 (+135)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Braves

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	@ CHC	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/14/26	@ CHC	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/13/26	vs PHI	L 4–9	L -1.5	O 9.5
9/12/26	vs PHI	W 12–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs PHI	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7
9/10/26	vs TB	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8
9/9/26	vs TB	L 2–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	vs TB	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	@ PHI	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/6/26	@ PHI	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago Cubs

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–2–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	vs ATL	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/14/26	vs ATL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/13/26	vs PIT	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/12/26	vs PIT	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/11/26	vs PIT	W 12–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ MIL	L 6–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/8/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	P 7
9/7/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/6/26	@ MIA	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/5/26	@ MIA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Braves and Cubs
	Statistic
7.6 (8.4)	Hits	8.0 (8.5)
1.4 (1.6)	Doubles	1.6 (1.7)
1.1 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.4)
12.4 (14.0)	Total Bases	13.7 (14.7)
2.8 (3.0)	Walks	3.9 (4.1)
8.2 (8.0)	Strikeouts	8.5 (8.4)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BravesJR RitchieConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%

Total Outs Recorded13.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-14358.8%Under+11247.2%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%

CubsShota ImanagaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12744.1%Under-16362.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%

Starting lineups

Atlanta BravesConfirmed

1Ronald Acuna Jr.RF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRonald Acuna Jr.+77011.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+46217.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
2Drake BaldwinDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDrake Baldwin+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
3Matt Olson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt Olson+87010.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
4Ozzie Albies2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterOzzie Albies+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44581.7%
5Michael Harris IICF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Harris II+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59385.6%
6Mauricio DubonLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMauricio Dubon+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54784.5%
7Austin Riley3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Riley+14206.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54015.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-40080.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
8Sean MurphyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSean Murphy+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58014.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30724.6%Under-45882.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32676.5%
9Ha-Seong KimSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHa-Seong Kim+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Hits0.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%

Chicago CubsConfirmed

1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Crow-Armstrong+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51383.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31175.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
2Seiya SuzukiRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSeiya Suzuki+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38420.7%Under-59085.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
3Michael Busch1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Busch+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20333.0%Under-28974.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
4Alex Bregman3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Bregman+15006.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49783.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
5Ian HappLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIan Happ+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
6Nico HoernerSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterNico Hoerner+28003.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+16138.3%Under-21768.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32876.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33677.1%
7Michael ConfortoDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Conforto+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59914.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
8Pedro Ramirez2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPedro Ramirez+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
9Carson KellyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Kelly+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54115.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%

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