MLB matchup

09/16/20269:38 PMAngel StadiumAnaheim, CA79°F · Intermittent clouds

Mariners72 – 83vsAngels60 – 95

Sharp side

✈️ Mariners -131

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Seattle Mariners	4.6	62.1%
Los Angeles Angels	3.5	37.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Seattle Mariners	B	B+	B+
Los Angeles Angels	D	C	C-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-131-1.5 (+128)

LAA+109+1.5 (-155)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-135-1.5 (+125)

LAA+110+1.5 (-155)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-127-1.5 (+130)

LAA+107+1.5 (-159)

Total 7.5Over -122Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-130-1.5 (+130)

LAA+110+1.5 (-155)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-121-1.5 (+138)

LAA+111+1.5 (-158)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-130-1.5 (+125)

LAA+110+1.5 (-150)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-136-1.5 (+126)

LAA+116+1.5 (-152)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-135-1.5 (+125)

LAA+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-130-1.5 (+130)

LAA+110+1.5 (-155)

Total 7.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Seattle Mariners

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	@ LAA	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/14/26	@ LAA	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	@ ATH	L 7–8	L -1.5	O 9
9/12/26	@ ATH	W 19–1	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/11/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 10.5
9/10/26	vs TEX	W 4–3	W +1.5	P 7
9/9/26	vs TEX	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/8/26	vs TEX	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs ATH	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 7
9/5/26	vs ATH	L 2–6	L -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Los Angeles Angels

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line9–1–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/15/26	vs SEA	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8
9/14/26	vs SEA	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	@ WSH	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 9.5
9/12/26	@ WSH	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	@ WSH	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ BOS	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9
9/8/26	@ BOS	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ PIT	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mariners and Angels
	Statistic
8.2 (7.7)	Hits	7.3 (7.7)
1.3 (1.2)	Doubles	1.4 (1.5)
1.4 (1.2)	Home Runs	0.9 (1.0)
13.9 (12.9)	Total Bases	11.6 (12.3)
3.5 (3.4)	Walks	2.9 (3.0)
8.8 (8.9)	Strikeouts	9.7 (9.6)
0.7 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarinersGeorge KirbyConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-10250.5%Under-12455.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

AngelsYusei KikuchiConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-10751.7%Under-11954.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%

Starting lineups

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

1J.P. CrawfordSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.P. Crawford+16205.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+15639.1%Under-21067.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
2Randy ArozarenaLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRandy Arozarena+80011.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33722.9%Under-50883.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+54215.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
3Dominic CanzoneDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDominic Canzone+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
4Cal RaleighC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCal Raleigh+60014.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43518.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20667.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
5Julio RodriguezCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJulio Rodriguez+9109.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40120.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51416.3%Under-84089.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
6Josh Naylor1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Naylor+18005.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14940.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41019.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9309.7%Under-178094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
7Taylor WardRF
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterTaylor Ward+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
8Cole Young2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Young+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46417.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26627.3%Under-38979.6%
9Weston Wilson3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWeston Wilson+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56015.2%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47082.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%

Los Angeles AngelsConfirmed

1Zach NetoSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterZach Neto+9909.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34922.3%Under-52884.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50683.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
2Mike TroutCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMike Trout+88010.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58685.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
3Wade MecklerLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWade Meckler+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58914.5%Under-98090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
4Vaughn Grissom1B
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterVaughn Grissom+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
5Moises BallesterosC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMoises Ballesteros+15206.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41880.7%
6Denzer Guzman3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzer Guzman+19205.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+15639.1%Under-20967.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43918.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10952.2%
7Josh LoweRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Lowe+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51216.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52083.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
8Christian MooreDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Moore+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19365.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48582.9%
9Adam Frazier2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAdam Frazier+30003.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57714.8%Under-96090.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48482.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-140093.3%

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