MLB matchup

09/17/20261:10 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, FL

Athletics61 – 94vsRays94 – 60

Sharp side

✈️ Athletics +224

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Athletics	3.1	34.3%
Tampa Bay Rays	4.7	65.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Athletics	C-	C	C
Tampa Bay Rays	B	A-	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+224+1.5 (-102)

TB-279-1.5 (-119)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+220+1.5 (+100)

TB-275-1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+235+1.5 (+104)

TB-286-1.5 (-127)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+225+1.5 (-102)

TB-280-1.5 (-118)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -103

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+233+1.5 (+100)

TB-260-1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+220+1.5 (+100)

TB-275-1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+220+1.5 (+100)

TB-270-1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+225+1.5 (+100)

TB-275-1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+220+1.5 (+100)

TB-270-1.5 (-120)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Athletics

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	@ TB	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/15/26	@ TB	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8
9/13/26	vs SEA	W 8–7	W +1.5	O 9
9/12/26	vs SEA	L 1–19	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/11/26	vs SEA	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 10.5
9/9/26	vs TOR	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs TOR	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/7/26	vs TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ SEA	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ SEA	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	vs ATH	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/15/26	vs ATH	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8
9/13/26	vs HOU	W 14–4	W -1.5	O 8
9/12/26	vs HOU	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/11/26	vs HOU	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/10/26	@ ATL	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ ATL	W 7–2	W +1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ ATL	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ TEX	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/5/26	@ TEX	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Athletics and Rays
	Statistic
7.3 (8.2)	Hits	8.9 (8.7)
1.4 (1.5)	Doubles	1.4 (1.4)
0.9 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
11.5 (13.5)	Total Bases	13.9 (13.6)
2.9 (3.2)	Walks	3.2 (3.1)
8.7 (8.6)	Strikeouts	7.0 (7.1)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AthleticsJeffrey SpringsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over+11646.3%Under-14859.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%

RaysDrew RasmussenConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-14358.8%Under+11247.2%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-24170.7%Under+17836.0%

Starting lineups

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19766.3%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31823.9%Under-47582.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43581.3%
2Jeff McNeilDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33922.8%Under-51183.6%
3Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+11408.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48617.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
4Zack Gelof3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51683.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37979.1%
5Donovan Walton2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDonovan Walton+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50216.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-168094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45181.9%
6Tommy White1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTommy White+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59914.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33822.8%Under-50983.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+13806.8%Under-310096.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
7Alika WilliamsSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlika Williams+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48817.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35122.2%Under-53284.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
8Jonah HeimC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJonah Heim+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49383.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
9Denzel ClarkeCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDenzel Clarke+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+83010.8%Under-152093.8%
Total Hits0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+28326.1%Under-41880.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28674.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+46917.6%Under-75088.2%

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed

1Yandy DiazDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterYandy Diaz+78011.4%
Total Bases1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44381.6%
Total Hits1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-14659.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-19766.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
2Jonathan Aranda1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJonathan Aranda+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39520.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26372.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13256.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
3Junior Caminero3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJunior Caminero+51416.3%
Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits1.5Over+20133.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
4Liam HicksC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLiam Hicks+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
5Jonny DeLucaCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJonny DeLuca+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
6Chandler SimpsonLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterChandler Simpson+39002.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+20233.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13342.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42080.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46082.1%
7Ryan ViladeRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRyan Vilade+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10808.5%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
8Richie Palacios2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRichie Palacios+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
9Taylor WallsSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTaylor Walls+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%

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