MLB matchup

09/17/20267:40 PMRate FieldChicago, IL75°F · Showers

Tigers73 – 82vsWhite Sox79 – 76

Sharp side

✈️ Tigers -104

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Detroit Tigers	4.6	59.6%
Chicago White Sox	3.7	40.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Detroit Tigers	B-	B+	B
Chicago White Sox	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET-104-1.5 (+165)

CHW-116+1.5 (-201)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET-105-1.5 (+155)

CHW-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET-103-1.5 (+155)

CHW-117+1.5 (-195)

Total 8.5Over -108Under -114

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+100-1.5 (+161)

CHW-117+1.5 (-189)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -113

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET+100-1.5 (+160)

CHW-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET-105-1.5 (+155)

CHW-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET-106-1.5 (+155)

CHW-110+1.5 (-188)

Total 8.5Over -108Under -112

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET-105-1.5 (+160)

CHW-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

DET-102-1.5 (+165)

CHW-111+1.5 (-200)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–3–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	@ TOR	L 1–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/15/26	@ TOR	W 10–1	W +1.5	O 8
9/14/26	@ TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs COL	W 8–1	W -1.5	P 9
9/12/26	vs COL	W 11–7	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs COL	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
9/9/26	vs MIN	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs MIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	vs MIN	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	@ CLE	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 7
9/15/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 9
9/14/26	@ CLE	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7
9/13/26	@ STL	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/12/26	@ STL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	@ STL	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/10/26	vs PIT	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and White Sox
	Statistic
8.2 (8.0)	Hits	7.0 (7.8)
1.6 (1.5)	Doubles	1.4 (1.5)
1.2 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.3)
13.7 (13.1)	Total Bases	11.8 (13.4)
3.6 (3.5)	Walks	3.3 (3.6)
8.9 (8.9)	Strikeouts	9.2 (9.2)
0.4 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersFramber ValdezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11854.1%Under-10851.9%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%

White SoxErick FeddeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Outs Recorded13.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-10651.5%Under-12054.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%

Starting lineups

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigle3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterKevin McGonigle+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
2Gleyber TorresDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGleyber Torres+15006.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44318.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37478.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
3Dillon DinglerC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDillon Dingler+82010.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34522.5%Under-52383.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23370.0%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
4Riley GreeneLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRiley Greene+57314.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16462.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
5Spencer Torkelson1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Torkelson+82010.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
6Zach McKinstryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterZach McKinstry+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
7Max ClarkCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMax Clark+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45218.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17763.9%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31776.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
8John PeckSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJohn Peck+17005.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49416.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36121.7%Under-54984.6%
9Javier Baez2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJavier Baez+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53315.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42080.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28674.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Chase Meidroth2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterChase Meidroth+19604.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11247.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-188094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
2Tommy PhamDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTommy Pham+13606.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14940.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
3Miguel Vargas3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterMiguel Vargas+9609.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52183.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18435.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-138093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18164.4%
4Randal GrichukLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRandal Grichuk+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15560.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52684.0%
5Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMunetaka Murakami+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50416.6%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
6Brenton DoyleCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrenton Doyle+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55115.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44781.7%
7Jake RogersC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Rogers+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28073.7%
8Luisangel AcunaSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuisangel Acuna+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51916.2%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18335.3%Under-26072.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48182.8%
9Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBraden Montgomery+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37278.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35578.0%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial