MLB matchup

09/18/20267:05 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore, MD79°F · Partly sunny

Brewers97 – 58vsOrioles75 – 80

Sharp side

🏠 Orioles +124

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	4.6	51.6%
Baltimore Orioles	4.4	48.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	B-	B
Baltimore Orioles	B	C+	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-149-1.5 (+112)

BAL+124+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-155-1.5 (+110)

BAL+125+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-150-1.5 (+104)

BAL+125+1.5 (-125)

Total 8.5Over -104Under -118

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-150-1.5 (+115)

BAL+126+1.5 (-145)

Total 8.5Over -106Under -112

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-143-1.5 (+110)

BAL+133+1.5 (-130)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-150-1.5 (+110)

BAL+125+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-144-1.5 (+112)

BAL+122+1.5 (-134)

Total 8.5Over -108Under -112

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-145-1.5 (+110)

BAL+125+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-145-1.5 (+115)

BAL+125+1.5 (-135)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/17/26	@ PIT	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/16/26	@ PIT	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/15/26	@ PIT	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/13/26	vs CIN	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8
9/12/26	vs CIN	W 13–9	W -1.5	O 9
9/11/26	vs CIN	W 20–0	W -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	vs CHC	W 8–6	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/8/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	P 7
9/7/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/6/26	@ CIN	L 8–12	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Baltimore Orioles

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	@ NYM	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/15/26	@ NYM	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/14/26	@ NYM	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/13/26	@ TOR	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7
9/12/26	@ TOR	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 8
9/11/26	@ TOR	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/9/26	vs CLE	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs CLE	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs CLE	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7
9/6/26	vs BOS	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Orioles
	Statistic
8.3 (8.6)	Hits	7.7 (7.7)
1.7 (1.7)	Doubles	1.4 (1.4)
0.9 (0.9)	Home Runs	1.2 (1.2)
12.9 (13.4)	Total Bases	13.0 (13.0)
4.0 (4.1)	Walks	3.7 (3.7)
8.4 (8.4)	Strikeouts	9.5 (9.5)
0.9 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersDustin MayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-11553.5%Under-11152.6%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

OriolesCade PovichConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-16862.7%Under+13143.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+76011.6%
Total Bases1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44581.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+15539.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16562.3%Under+11945.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49516.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
2Brice Turang2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrice Turang+13207.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59685.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-25471.8%Under+18734.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14358.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55915.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
3William ContrerasC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38020.8%Under-58385.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+19833.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14759.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20567.2%
4Andrew Vaughn1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Vaughn+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
5Christian YelichDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Yelich+12007.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
6Joey Ortiz3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJoey Ortiz+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46217.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-24971.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-154093.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
7Garrett MitchellCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-29974.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
8Luis LaraRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Lara+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-154093.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
9Cooper PrattSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Dylan BeaversLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Beavers+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49416.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40080.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9409.6%Under-180094.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
2Pete Alonso1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Alonso+72012.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
3Gunnar HendersonSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGunnar Henderson+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46417.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
4Coby Mayo3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCoby Mayo+9309.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
5Samuel BasalloC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSamuel Basallo+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
6Christian Encarnacion-StrandDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Encarnacion-Strand+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28373.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46482.3%
7Colton CowserCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterColton Cowser+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Hits0.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47282.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+86010.4%Under-160094.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
8Jeremiah Jackson2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJeremiah Jackson+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
9Leody TaverasRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLeody Taveras+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56515.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45181.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%

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