MLB matchup

09/18/20268:05 PMGlobe Life FieldArlington, TX

Blue Jays76 – 79vsRangers78 – 77

Sharp side

🏠 Rangers +118

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Blue Jays	3.9	56.4%
Texas Rangers	3.3	43.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	A-	B
Texas Rangers	C	C+	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-142-1.5 (+123)

TEX+118+1.5 (-149)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-140-1.5 (+125)

TEX+115+1.5 (-155)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-141-1.5 (+123)

TEX+118+1.5 (-152)

Total 7.5Over -103Under -120

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-136-1.5 (+126)

TEX+116+1.5 (-147)

Total 7.5Over -108Under -109

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-133-1.5 (+130)

TEX+123+1.5 (-150)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-140-1.5 (+125)

TEX+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-136-1.5 (+128)

TEX+116+1.5 (-154)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-135-1.5 (+125)

TEX+115+1.5 (-150)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-135-1.5 (+130)

TEX+115+1.5 (-155)

Total 7.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	vs DET	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/15/26	vs DET	L 1–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/14/26	vs DET	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs BAL	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7
9/12/26	vs BAL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs BAL	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ ATH	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ ATH	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ KC	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas Rangers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/17/26	vs BOS	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/16/26	vs BOS	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 8
9/15/26	vs BOS	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/13/26	@ ARI	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 8
9/12/26	@ ARI	W 6–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	@ ARI	L 1–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/10/26	@ SEA	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/9/26	@ SEA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/8/26	@ SEA	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs TB	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Blue Jays and Rangers
	Statistic
8.2 (8.5)	Hits	7.2 (8.0)
1.6 (1.6)	Doubles	1.2 (1.4)
1.0 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.0 (1.1)
12.8 (13.4)	Total Bases	11.5 (13.0)
2.8 (2.9)	Walks	3.0 (3.2)
7.2 (7.1)	Strikeouts	8.6 (8.6)
0.4 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Blue JaysDylan CeaseConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%

Total Strikeouts7.5Over+10947.8%Under-13958.2%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

RangersKumar RockerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-13757.8%Under+10748.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Starting lineups

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Bateman+20004.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58685.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24771.2%Under+18235.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11446.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56415.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
2Nathan LukesRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Lukes+14006.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+84010.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57485.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-25271.6%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
4George SpringerDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22068.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
5Alejandro KirkC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlejandro Kirk+16005.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18464.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22168.8%
6Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+75011.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
7Josh Smith2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Smith+13806.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
8Ernie ClementSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterErnie Clement+22004.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20367.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41280.5%
9Myles StrawLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMyles Straw+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57414.8%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13442.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43481.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%

Texas RangersConfirmed

1Ezequiel Duran3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Duran+15206.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45682.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
2Corey SeagerSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCorey Seager+72012.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46117.8%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
3Josh JungDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Jung+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36878.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27773.5%
4Brandon NimmoRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Nimmo+10408.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16662.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9909.2%Under-192095.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
5Wyatt LangfordLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWyatt Langford+12607.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33076.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
6Jake Burger1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Burger+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55215.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12145.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23269.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
7Nicky Lopez2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNicky Lopez+38002.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35522.0%Under-54084.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36078.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-142093.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
8Elias DiazC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterElias Diaz+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59114.5%Under-99090.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
9Evan CarterCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEvan Carter+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-104091.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33622.9%Under-50783.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%

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