MLB matchup

09/18/20268:10 PMCoors FieldDenver, CO76°F · Thunderstorms

Mariners72 – 83vsRockies57 – 98

Sharp side

✈️ Mariners -192

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 10.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Seattle Mariners	6.7	71.8%
Colorado Rockies	4.5	28.2%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Seattle Mariners	B	A-	B+
Colorado Rockies	F	F	F

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-192-1.5 (-120)

COL+158+1.5 (+100)

Total 10.5Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-190-1.5 (-120)

COL+154+1.5 (+100)

Total 10.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-180-1.5 (-118)

COL+150+1.5 (-104)

Total 10.5Over -115Under -106

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-190-1.5 (-122)

COL+156+1.5 (+104)

Total 10.5Over -113Under -104

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-180-1.5 (-120)

COL+166+1.5 (+100)

Total 10.5Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-190-1.5 (-120)

COL+155+1.5 (+100)

Total 10.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-186-1.5 (-125)

COL+156+1.5 (+104)

Total 10.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-190-1.5 (-125)

COL+160+1.5 (+105)

Total 10.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

SEA-190-1.5 (-125)

COL+160+1.5 (+105)

Total 10.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Seattle Mariners

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	@ LAA	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 8
9/15/26	@ LAA	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/14/26	@ LAA	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	@ ATH	L 7–8	L -1.5	O 9
9/12/26	@ ATH	W 19–1	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/11/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 10.5
9/10/26	vs TEX	W 4–3	W +1.5	P 7
9/9/26	vs TEX	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
9/8/26	vs TEX	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs ATH	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Colorado Rockies

Overall1–9–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U6–1–3O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/17/26	vs SD	L 2–9	L +1.5	P 11
9/16/26	vs SD	L 3–9	L +1.5	O 11
9/15/26	vs SD	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 11
9/14/26	vs SD	L 7–8	W +1.5	O 11
9/13/26	@ DET	L 1–8	L +1.5	P 9
9/12/26	@ DET	L 7–11	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	@ DET	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
9/10/26	@ NYY	L 3–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ NYY	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ NYY	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mariners and Rockies
	Statistic
10.0 (7.7)	Hits	8.4 (8.5)
1.6 (1.2)	Doubles	1.7 (1.7)
1.9 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
17.6 (12.7)	Total Bases	13.9 (14.0)
3.9 (3.4)	Walks	3.1 (3.1)
8.5 (8.9)	Strikeouts	8.8 (8.8)
0.9 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.7 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarinersBryan WooConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+12843.9%Under-16462.1%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%

RockiesGabriel HughesConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-11353.1%Under-11353.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%

Starting lineups

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

1J.P. CrawfordSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJ.P. Crawford+13007.1%
Total Bases1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Hits1.5Over+15139.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17864.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
2Randy ArozarenaLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterRandy Arozarena+81011.0%
Total Bases1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+15139.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15160.2%Under+10947.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
3Dominic CanzoneDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDominic Canzone+85010.5%
Total Bases1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
Total Hits1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
4Cal RaleighC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCal Raleigh+47517.4%
Total Bases1.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+17436.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-16462.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
5Julio RodriguezCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJulio Rodriguez+9609.4%
Total Bases1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13357.1%Under-10350.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16061.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39520.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37478.9%
6Josh Naylor1B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Naylor+17205.5%
Total Bases1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18965.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-22268.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
7Cole Young2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Young+17205.5%
Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45181.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+16238.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12444.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-28974.3%
8Lazaro MontesRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLazaro Montes+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
9Brock Rodden3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrock Rodden+18005.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34777.6%

Colorado RockiesConfirmed

1Jake McCarthyLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJake McCarthy+17405.4%
Total Bases1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-19165.6%Under+13742.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34622.4%Under-52383.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51683.8%
2Connor NorbyDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterConnor Norby+14806.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47182.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-24270.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48482.9%
3TJ Rumfield1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTJ Rumfield+16605.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32123.8%Under-48282.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
4Hunter GoodmanC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHunter Goodman+90010.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
5Cole CarriggCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCole Carrigg+18805.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49683.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30475.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
6Kyle Karros3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKyle Karros+27003.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55984.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24129.3%Under-34977.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
7Mickey MoniakRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMickey Moniak+12407.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56685.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18965.4%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59685.6%
8Adael Amador2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAdael Amador+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37421.1%Under-57285.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32023.8%Under-48082.8%
9Ezequiel TovarSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Tovar+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58414.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+41219.5%Under-64086.5%

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