MLB matchup

09/18/20268:15 PMBusch StadiumSt. Louis, MO90°F · Partly sunny

Nationals73 – 82vsCardinals75 – 80

Sharp side

🏠 Cardinals -107

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Washington Nationals	4.4	47.3%
St. Louis Cardinals	4.7	52.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Washington Nationals	C	C	C
St. Louis Cardinals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-112-1.5 (+144)

STL-107+1.5 (-175)

Total 8.0Over -103Under -116

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-115-1.5 (+150)

STL-105+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-114-1.5 (+148)

STL-105+1.5 (-182)

Total 7.5Over -120Under -103

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-109-1.5 (+160)

STL-107+1.5 (-189)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -103

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+150)

STL+100+1.5 (-170)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-115-1.5 (+150)

STL-105+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+158)

STL-106+1.5 (-192)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -106

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+160)

STL-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+150)

STL-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Washington Nationals

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	vs PHI	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 9
9/15/26	vs PHI	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8
9/13/26	vs LAA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 9.5
9/12/26	vs LAA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs LAA	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ SD	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ SD	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ SD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ LAD	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/26	@ LAD	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

St. Louis Cardinals

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	vs SF	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/15/26	vs SF	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/14/26	vs SF	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8
9/13/26	vs CHW	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/12/26	vs CHW	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs CHW	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/9/26	@ SF	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ SF	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ SF	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/6/26	@ COL	W 10–8	W -1.5	O 11

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Nationals and Cardinals
	Statistic
7.9 (8.4)	Hits	8.3 (8.2)
1.6 (1.7)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.2 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
13.5 (14.5)	Total Bases	13.2 (12.9)
3.2 (3.4)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
8.5 (8.5)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.0)
1.0 (1.1)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

NationalsCade CavalliConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-10851.9%Under-11854.1%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%

CardinalsKyle LeahyConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed0.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%

Total Hits Allowed2.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%

Total Outs Recorded8.5Over-20066.7%Under+15040.0%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over-13657.6%Under+10748.3%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%

Starting lineups

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1James WoodDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJames Wood+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-13457.3%Under-10350.7%
2Daylen LileLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57485.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-25571.8%Under+18834.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55015.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39379.7%
3Dylan CrewsRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+12007.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57014.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
4CJ AbramsSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55684.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17463.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40919.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
5Brady House3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrady House+15606.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23269.9%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11208.2%Under-230095.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
6Jorbit Vivas2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJorbit Vivas+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44481.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
7Yohandy Morales1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterYohandy Morales+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48717.0%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
8Harry FordC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterHarry Ford+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36278.4%
9Jacob YoungCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJacob Young+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49416.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+46717.6%Under-74088.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26027.8%Under-38079.2%

St. Louis CardinalsConfirmed

1JJ Wetherholt2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJJ Wetherholt+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
2Ivan HerreraDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterIvan Herrera+16805.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41919.3%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20867.5%Under+15539.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11252.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
3Alec Burleson1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlec Burleson+10408.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46482.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-27373.2%Under+20033.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13657.6%Under-10250.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
4Jordan WalkerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Walker+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36778.6%
5Leo BernalC
6Thomas Saggese3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterThomas Saggese+20004.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46417.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
7Bryan TorresLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBryan Torres+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48317.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26627.3%Under-39079.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43381.2%
8Masyn WinnSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMasyn Winn+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9209.8%Under-176094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
9Nathan ChurchCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Church+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53684.3%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial