MLB matchup

09/18/20269:40 PMChase FieldPhoenix, AZ

Yankees89 – 65vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side

✈️ Yankees -106

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
New York Yankees	4.4	60.7%
Arizona Diamondbacks	3.4	39.3%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
New York Yankees	B	A	A-
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	C+	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-106-1.5 (+153)

ARI-113+1.5 (-186)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-105-1.5 (+155)

ARI-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-105-1.5 (+160)

ARI-114+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -106

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-107-1.5 (+151)

ARI-109+1.5 (-179)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -103

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-101-1.5 (+160)

ARI-109+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-105-1.5 (+155)

ARI-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-102-1.5 (+158)

ARI-116+1.5 (-192)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-105-1.5 (+155)

ARI-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-105-1.5 (+150)

ARI-115+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Yankees

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U7–2–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	@ MIN	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/15/26	@ MIN	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/14/26	@ MIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/13/26	vs NYM	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 8
9/12/26	vs NYM	L 2–12	L -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs NYM	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8
9/10/26	vs COL	W 10–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	vs COL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs COL	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	@ SD	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/16/26	vs MIA	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/15/26	vs MIA	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/14/26	vs MIA	W 8–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/13/26	vs TEX	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/12/26	vs TEX	L 2–6	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	vs TEX	W 9–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ KC	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	@ KC	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ KC	W 5–4	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/6/26	@ HOU	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Yankees and Diamondbacks
	Statistic
7.7 (7.9)	Hits	7.4 (8.2)
1.4 (1.4)	Doubles	1.5 (1.7)
1.3 (1.4)	Home Runs	0.8 (1.0)
13.3 (13.6)	Total Bases	11.6 (13.3)
3.6 (3.6)	Walks	3.1 (3.3)
9.3 (9.3)	Strikeouts	7.6 (7.5)
0.9 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

YankeesGerrit ColeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-15460.6%Under+11746.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-12154.8%Under-10551.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

DiamondbacksEduardo RodriguezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-14158.5%Under+11047.6%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%

Starting lineups

New York YankeesConfirmed

1Paul Goldschmidt1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPaul Goldschmidt+9409.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51883.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22068.8%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
2Cody BellingerLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Bellinger+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33223.1%Under-50083.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-27373.2%Under+20133.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10009.1%Under-196095.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%
3Heliot RamosRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHeliot Ramos+81011.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52083.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
4Ben RiceDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Rice+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38720.5%Under-59685.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
5Amed Rosario3B
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterAmed Rosario+16805.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
6Spencer JonesCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSpencer Jones+11607.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
7George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Lombard Jr.+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36478.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-15060.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9109.9%Under-172094.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
8Austin WellsC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Wells+14406.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51216.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35077.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30175.1%
9Anthony Volpe2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAnthony Volpe+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+68012.8%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%

Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed

1Lars NootbaarLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLars Nootbaar+10208.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39920.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18264.5%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
2Ketel Marte2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKetel Marte+89010.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36221.6%Under-55184.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27873.5%
3Gabriel MorenoC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGabriel Moreno+15406.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24871.3%Under+18335.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13357.1%Under-10350.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
4Geraldo PerdomoSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGeraldo Perdomo+19205.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21232.1%Under-30375.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
5Pavin Smith1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPavin Smith+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55815.2%Under-92090.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
6Nolan Arenado3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNolan Arenado+13406.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33822.8%Under-51083.6%
7Corbin CarrollRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCorbin Carroll+11408.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40020.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+54915.4%Under-90090.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
8Jesus SanchezDH
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterJesus Sanchez+16805.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58714.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
9Tim TawaCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTim Tawa+18805.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44218.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial